USA. Women. NWSL
Kansas City W - Angel City W
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Angel City W — 53%
Model estimate: win Kansas City W 27.6%, draw 19.1%, win Angel City W 53.4%. Model favourite — Angel City W.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Angel City (Zh): probability 53% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.87)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kansas City W - Angel City W July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.05 / X 3.41 / 2 3.14
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
NWSL WomenHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Kansas City W - Angel City W
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.04 49.0% |
| yes | 1.69 59.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.61 38.3% | |
| X | 2.13 47.0% |
| 3.87 25.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.95 51.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 2.40 41.7% |
Full head-to-head historyKansas City W - Angel City W
Match history
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The Kansas City W - Angel City W breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form