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USA. Women. NWSL
USA. Women. NWSL
31.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Not started

USA. Women. NWSL

Kansas City W - Angel City W

Football
K
Kansas City W
- : -
Not started
A
Angel City W
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Angel City W53%

1 · Kansas City W27.6%
X · draw19.1%
2 · Angel City W53.4%

Model estimate: win Kansas City W 27.6%, draw 19.1%, win Angel City W 53.4%. Model favourite — Angel City W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Angel City W (odds1.87) Score 1:2 confidence 53%
  • Model backs Angel City (Zh): probability 53% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.87)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kansas City W - Angel City W July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Kansas City W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.05 / X 3.41 / 2 3.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 44.4%
X 26.7%
2 29.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

NWSL Women
League table
Kansas City W
#628 ptsGP 179-1-728:24
ARRAY
Angel City W
#822 ptsGP 157-1-723:16
ARRAY
Best price across 11 books
1 2.12 Betano
X 3.50 Betfair
2 3.50 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kansas City W
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 2.10 Conceded 1.01 xG 1.82 xGA 1.11 Corners 4.5
Angel City W
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.21 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.45 xGA 1.26 Corners 5.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kansas City W
Rating 1534 xG 1.53 Win 46%
Angel City W
Rating 1488 xG 1.14 Win 28%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 44.4% @ 2.05 / X 26.7% @ 3.41 / 2 29.0% @ 3.14
Match center

Kansas City W - Angel City W

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kansas City W - 27.6%
Draw - 19.1% draw risk
Angel City W - 53.4% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 27.6% / 19.1% / 53.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,397 / 1,644 Kansas City Current (Zh) / Angel City (Zh)
RD 206 / 205 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 984-1,809 / 1,235-2,053 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.14 market consensus · weak value +67.6% · model 53.4%
X 3.41 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.05 market consensus · no value · model 27.6%
Handicap
2 0 2.40 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.69 59.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.61 38.3%
X 2.13 47.0%
3.87 25.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.76 56.8%
Under 1 1.95 51.3%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.50 66.7%
2.40 41.7%
Match center
Kansas City W
W L D L W
29.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Kansas City W 5:1 Reysing Luisvill (Zh)
25.07 19:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Kansas City W 0:1 Boston Legacy (Zh)
17.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Kansas City W 2:2 San Diego Wave (Zh)
10.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Kansas City W 0:3 Orlando Prayd (Zh)
03.07 23:30 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Kansas City W 3:0 Denver Summit (Zh)
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Angel City W
L W W W L
26.07 23:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Angel City W 1:2 Reysing Luisvill (Zh)
18.07 20:30 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Angel City W 2:0 Chikago (Zh)
11.07 22:45 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Angel City W 2:0 San Diego Wave (Zh)
04.07 00:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Angel City W 2:0 Orlando Prayd (Zh)
31.05 21:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Angel City W 1:2 Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points