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USA. Women. NWSL
USA. Women. NWSL
01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Not started

USA. Women. NWSL

Racing Louisville W - Chicago Red Stars W

Football
R
Racing Louisville W
- : -
Not started
C
Chicago Red Stars W

Racing Louisville W take on Chicago Red Stars W on August 1, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.

Recent form (W-D-L): Racing Louisville W 1-1-3, Chicago Red Stars W 1-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Racing Louisville W — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Racing Louisville W): model 41% · market 58% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Racing Louisville W56.9%
X · draw22.7%
2 · Chicago Red Stars W20.4%

Model estimate: win Racing Louisville W 56.9%, draw 22.7%, win Chicago Red Stars W 20.4%. Model favourite — Racing Louisville W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Racing Louisville W (odds1.84) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • • Model backs Reysing Luisvill (Zh): probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.84)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Racing Louisville W - Chicago Red Stars W August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Racing Louisville W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 4.01 / 2 4.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 58.3%
X 22.8%
2 18.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

NWSL Women
League table
Racing Louisville W
#1611 ptsGP 163-2-1119:33
Chicago Red Stars W
#1512 ptsGP 164-0-128:31
Best price across 11 books
1 1.67 Unibet
X 4.00 Betfair
2 4.75 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Racing Louisville W
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 0.90 Conceded 2.01 xG 1.15 xGA 1.75 Corners 5.5
Chicago Red Stars W
W-D-L 2-0-8 Scored 0.40 Conceded 2.00 xG 0.89 xGA 2.11 Corners 3.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Racing Louisville W
Rating 1396 xG 1.73 Win 57%
Chicago Red Stars W
Rating 1305 xG 0.91 Win 20%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 58.3% @ 1.57 / X 22.8% @ 4.01 / 2 18.9% @ 4.85
Match center

Racing Louisville W - Chicago Red Stars W

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Racing Louisville W 57.9% 56.9% market and model agree
Draw 22.7% 22.7% draw risk
Chicago Red Stars W 19.4% 20.4%
xG - 1.64 : 1.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.9% / 22.7% / 20.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,309 / 1,376 Reysing Luisvill (Zh) / Chikago (Zh)
RD 191 / 195 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 927-1,691 / 987-1,766 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.72 market consensus · no value · model 20.4%
X 4.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.56 market consensus · no value · model 56.9%
Double chance
12 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 77.3%
1X 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 79.6%
X2 2.18 market consensus · no value · model 43.1%
Handicap
2 +1 1.77 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.13 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.13 47.0%
yes 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.10 90.9% 1.15 87.0%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.03 49.3%
X 2.41 41.5%
4.94 20.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 2.26 44.3%
Under 1 2.28 43.9%
Under 1.5 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Racing Louisville W
L W D L L
29.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Racing Louisville W 1:5 Kansas City Current (Zh)
26.07 23:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Racing Louisville W 2:1 Angel City (Zh)
18.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Racing Louisville W 1:1 Khyuston Desh (Zh)
10.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Racing Louisville W 0:2 Bay FC (Zh)
05.07 21:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Racing Louisville W 0:4 Portlend (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.6 Conceded
4 Points
Chicago Red Stars W
L L L W
24.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Chicago Red Stars W 0:1 Orlando Prayd (Zh)
18.07 20:30 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Chicago Red Stars W 0:2 Angel City (Zh)
10.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Chicago Red Stars W 0:2 Boston Legacy (Zh)
05.07 19:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Chicago Red Stars W 3:2 Yuta Royals (Zh)Yuta Royals (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points