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USA. Women. NWSL
USA. Women. NWSL
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

USA. Women. NWSL

Utah Royals W - Portland Thorns W

Football
Utah Royals W
Utah Royals W
- : -
Not started
P
Portland Thorns W

Utah Royals W meet Portland Thorns W on August 1, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.

Recent form (W-D-L): Utah Royals W 2-1-2, Portland Thorns W 1-1-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Utah Royals W — 62%

1 · Utah Royals W ✓ Pick61.5%
market49%
X · draw18.0%
market25%
2 · Portland Thorns W20.5%
market26%

Model estimate: win Utah Royals W 61.5%, draw 18.0%, win Portland Thorns W 20.5%. Model favourite — Utah Royals W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Utah Royals W (odds1.99) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Yuta Royals (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Utah Royals W - Portland Thorns W August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Utah Royals W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.64 / 2 3.53

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 ✓ Pick 48.8%
X 25.2%
2 26.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

NWSL Women
League table
Utah Royals W
#330 ptsGP 179-3-526:18
Portland Thorns W
#528 ptsGP 178-4-527:20
Best price across 10 books
1 1.95 Betano
X 3.67 Pinnacle
2 3.65 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Utah Royals W
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.21 xG 1.49 xGA 1.24 Corners 5.4
Portland Thorns W
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.53 xGA 1.26 Corners 4.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Utah Royals W
Rating 1537 xG 1.41 Win 43%
Portland Thorns W
Rating 1534 xG 1.13 Win 30%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 48.8% @ 1.88 / X 25.2% @ 3.64 / 2 26.0% @ 3.53
Match center

Utah Royals W - Portland Thorns W

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Utah Royals W - 61.5% model pick
Draw - 18.0% draw risk
Portland Thorns W - 20.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 61.5% / 18.0% / 20.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,608 / 1,398 Utah Royals (w) / Portlend (Zh)
RD 160 / 206 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,287-1,929 / 985-1,810 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.49 market consensus · no value · model 20.5%
X 3.61 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.86 market consensus · value +14.4% · model 61.5%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 82.0%
1X 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 79.5%
X2 1.77 market consensus · no value · model 38.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4%
x2 1.71 58.5% 1.82 55.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.40 41.7%
X 2.25 44.4%
4.02 24.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.61 62.1%
Under 1 2.18 45.9%
Match center
Utah Royals W
D W W L L
29.07 23:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Utah Royals W 0:0 Vashington Spirit (Zh)
25.07 21:45 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Utah Royals W 4:1 Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
18.07 22:45 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Utah Royals W 1:0 Orlando Prayd (Zh)
11.07 00:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Utah Royals W 1:3 Gotem (Zh)
05.07 19:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Utah Royals W 2:3 Chikago (Zh)
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Portland Thorns W
D L L W
25.07 00:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Portland Thorns W 2:2 Gotem (Zh)
18.07 16:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Portland Thorns W 1:2 Denver Summit (Zh)
12.07 18:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Portland Thorns W 0:2 Reyn (Zh)
05.07 21:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Portland Thorns W 4:0 Reysing Luisvill (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points