USA. Women. NWSL
Utah Royals W - Portland Thorns W
Utah Royals W take on Portland Thorns W on August 2, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Utah Royals W 2-1-2, Portland Thorns W 1-1-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Utah Royals W — 42%
Pure model vs market (1 · Utah Royals W): model 53% · market 45% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Utah Royals W 42.4%, draw 24.4%, win Portland Thorns W 33.2%. Model favourite — Utah Royals W.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Yuta Royals (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Utah Royals W - Portland Thorns W August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 3.80 / 2 3.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
NWSL WomenHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Utah Royals W - Portland Thorns W
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.58 38.8% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.62 61.7% | 1.72 58.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.49 40.2% | |
| X | 2.38 42.0% |
| 3.49 28.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.14 46.7% |
| Under 1 | 2.16 46.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
Utah Royals W
Full head-to-head historyUtah Royals W - Portland Thorns W
Match history
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The Utah Royals W - Portland Thorns W breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form