USA. Women. NWSL
Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Utah Royals (w) — 49%
Pure model vs market (1 · Utah Royals (w)): model 34% · market 29% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Utah Royals (w) 49.2%, draw 20.6%, win Washington Spirit (w) 30.2%. Model favourite — Utah Royals (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Yuta Royals (Zh): probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.03)
- • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w) July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 3.50 / 2 2.04
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.69 59.2% |
| x2 | 1.32 75.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 2.32 43.1% | |
| 1.54 64.9% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.04 49.0% |
Utah Royals (w)
Full head-to-head historyUtah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w)
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form