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USA. Women. NWSL
USA. Women. NWSL
28.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

USA. Women. NWSL

Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w)

Football
Utah Royals (w)
Utah Royals (w)
- : -
Not started
W
Washington Spirit (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Utah Royals (w)49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Utah Royals (w)): model 34% · market 29% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Utah Royals (w)49.2%
X · draw20.6%
2 · Washington Spirit (w)30.2%

Model estimate: win Utah Royals (w) 49.2%, draw 20.6%, win Washington Spirit (w) 30.2%. Model favourite — Utah Royals (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Utah Royals (w) (odds2.03) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Yuta Royals (Zh): probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.03)
  • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w) July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Washington Spirit (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 3.50 / 2 2.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 29.4%
X 26.0%
2 44.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w)

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Utah Royals (w) - 49.2% model pick
Draw - 20.6% draw risk
Washington Spirit (w) - 30.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.2% / 20.6% / 30.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,585 / 1,796 Utah Royals (w) / Washington Spirit (w)
RD 173 / 179 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,240-1,931 / 1,438-2,154 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.04 market consensus · no value · model 30.2%
X 3.50 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.10 market consensus · weak value +52.6% · model 49.2%
Double chance
12 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 79.4%
1X 1.69 market consensus · value +18.0% · model 69.8%
X2 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 50.8%
Handicap
2 0 1.54 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.69 59.2%
x2 1.32 75.8%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
2.32 43.1%
1.54 64.9%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 2.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
3.10 32.3%
X 3.50 28.6%
2.04 49.0%
Match center
Utah Royals (w)
W W L L
25.07 21:45 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Utah Royals (w) 4:1 Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
18.07 22:45 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Utah Royals (w) 1:0 Orlando Prayd (Zh)
11.07 00:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Utah Royals (w) 1:3 Gotem (Zh)
05.07 19:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Utah Royals (w) 2:3 Chikago (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Washington Spirit (w)
W W L W W
26.07 21:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Washington Spirit (w) 1:0 Denver Summit (Zh)
19.07 21:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Washington Spirit (w) 2:1 Boston Legacy (Zh)
15.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Washington Spirit (w) 0:1 Gotem (Zh)
11.07 20:30 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Washington Spirit (w) 2:0 Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
03.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Washington Spirit (w) 2:1 Khyuston Desh (Zh)
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points