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USA. Women. NWSL
USA. Women. NWSL
01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Not started

USA. Women. NWSL

Washington Spirit W - San Diego Wave W

Football
W
Washington Spirit W
- : -
Not started
S
San Diego Wave W

Washington Spirit W meet San Diego Wave W on August 1, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.

Recent form (W-D-L): Washington Spirit W 3-1-1, San Diego Wave W 1-1-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Washington Spirit W — 65%

1 · Washington Spirit W ✓ Pick65.1%
market37%
X · draw17.5%
market26%
2 · San Diego Wave W17.4%
market37%

Model estimate: win Washington Spirit W 65.1%, draw 17.5%, win San Diego Wave W 17.4%. Model favourite — Washington Spirit W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Washington Spirit W (odds1.88) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Vashington Spirit (Zh): probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.88)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Washington Spirit W - San Diego Wave W August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Washington Spirit W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 3.50 / 2 2.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 ✓ Pick 36.7%
X 26.2%
2 37.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

NWSL Women
League table
Washington Spirit W
#136 ptsGP 1711-3-326:12
San Diego Wave W
#429 ptsGP 179-2-623:19
Best price across 9 books
1 2.62 Betano
X 3.65 Pinnacle
2 2.55 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Washington Spirit W
W-D-L 8-0-2 Scored 1.59 Conceded 0.79 xG 1.62 xGA 1.12 Corners 3.2
San Diego Wave W
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.66 xGA 1.14 Corners 4.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Washington Spirit W
Rating 1628 xG 1.46 Win 46%
San Diego Wave W
Rating 1506 xG 1.06 Win 27%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 36.7% @ 2.50 / X 26.2% @ 3.50 / 2 37.1% @ 2.47
Match center

Washington Spirit W - San Diego Wave W

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Washington Spirit W - 65.1% model pick
Draw - 17.5% draw risk
San Diego Wave W - 17.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 65.1% / 17.5% / 17.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,771 / 1,434 Washington Spirit (w) / San Diego Wave (Zh)
RD 165 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,441-2,101 / 1,047-1,821 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.46 market consensus · no value · model 17.4%
X 3.44 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.45 market consensus · weak value +59.5% · model 65.1%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 82.5%
1X 1.44 market consensus · value +19.0% · model 82.6%
X2 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 34.9%
Handicap
2 0 1.84 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.19 84.0% 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.40 71.4% 1.48 67.6%
x2 1.40 71.4% 1.49 67.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.24 30.9%
X 2.07 48.3%
3.14 31.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.87 53.5%
Under 1 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Washington Spirit W
D W W L W
29.07 23:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Washington Spirit W 0:0 Yuta Royals (Zh)Yuta Royals (Zh)
26.07 21:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Washington Spirit W 1:0 Denver Summit (Zh)
19.07 21:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Washington Spirit W 2:1 Boston Legacy (Zh)
15.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Washington Spirit W 0:1 Gotem (Zh)
11.07 20:30 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
Washington Spirit W 2:0 Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
San Diego Wave W
L D L W
26.07 19:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
San Diego Wave W 0:2 Reyn (Zh)
17.07 22:00 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
San Diego Wave W 2:2 Kansas City Current (Zh)
11.07 22:45 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
San Diego Wave W 0:2 Angel City (Zh)
04.07 22:45 UTC USA: Womens League Standings
San Diego Wave W 2:0 Gotem (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points