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USA. Women. NWSL
02.08.2026 20:00 UTC
02.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Not started
USA. Women. NWSL
Washington Spirit W - San Diego Wave W
Football
W
Washington Spirit W
-:-
Not started
S
San Diego Wave W
Washington Spirit W take on San Diego Wave W on August 2, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Washington Spirit W 3-1-1, San Diego Wave W 1-1-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Washington Spirit W — 41%
Pure model vs market (1 · Washington Spirit W): model 59% · market 40%Δ +19 ppmodel estimates above the market
41%1
1 · Washington Spirit W41.3%
X · draw25.1%
2 · San Diego Wave W33.6%
Model estimate: win Washington Spirit W 41.3%, draw 25.1%, win San Diego Wave W 33.6%. Model favourite — Washington Spirit W.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Washington Spirit W (odds1.88)Score 2:1confidence 50%
•Model backs Vashington Spirit (Zh): probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.88)
•no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
•Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Washington Spirit W - San Diego Wave W August 2, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Washington Spirit W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.3%
139.8%
X25.6%
234.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
NWSL Women
League table
Washington Spirit W
#136 ptsGP 1711-3-326:12
San Diego Wave W
#429 ptsGP 179-2-623:19
Best price
across 11 books
12.43Unibet
X3.62Pinnacle
23.10Bet365
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Washington Spirit W
Rating 1628xG 1.23Win 36%
San Diego Wave W
Rating 1506xG 1.25Win 37%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Washington Spirit W2:1San Diego Wave W
12.32
X3.30
22.78
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Washington Spirit W40.2%41.3%market and model agree
Draw25.4%25.1%draw risk
San Diego Wave W34.4%33.6%
xG-1.31 : 1.20
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P241.3% / 25.1% / 33.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,771 / 1,434
Washington Spirit (w) / San Diego Wave (Zh)
RD165 / 193
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,441-2,102 / 1,047-1,821
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.64
market consensus · no value · model 33.6%
X3.53
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
12.28
market consensus · no value · model 41.3%
Double chance
121.22
market consensus · no value · model 74.9%
1X1.39
market consensus · no value · model 66.4%
X21.52
market consensus · no value · model 58.7%
Handicap
2 01.99
market consensus · line only
1 01.72
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.51.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.51.90
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No2.11
market consensus · line only
Yes1.65
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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Yuta Royals (Zh)
