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28.07.2026 23:00 UTC
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28.07.2026 23:00 UTC
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USA. Women. NWSL
Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w)
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:
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Not started
W
Washington Spirit (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Washington Spirit (w) — 43%
Pure model vs market (2 · Washington Spirit (w)): model 44% · market 42% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Utah Royals (w) 30.5%, draw 26.6%, win Washington Spirit (w) 42.9%. Model favourite — Washington Spirit (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Utah Royals (w) (odds2.03)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Yuta Royals (Zh): probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.03)
- • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w) July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Washington Spirit (w).
Line favourite market consensus: Washington Spirit (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.95 / X 3.36 / 2 2.15
- 1X2 market: Utah Royals (w) 30.7% / X 27.0% / Washington Spirit (w) 42.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.2%
1
30.8%
X
27.0%
2
42.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Washington Spirit (w) 43%
💹 Market
Washington Spirit (w) 4225%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w)
Form
4/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Utah Royals (w)
30.3%
30.5%
Draw
26.9%
26.6%
draw risk
Washington Spirit (w)
42.9%
42.9%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
30.5% / 26.6% / 42.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,585 / 1,796
Utah Royals (w) / Washington Spirit (w)
RD
173 / 179
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,240-1,931 / 1,438-2,154
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.14
market consensus · no value · model 42.9%
X
3.36
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.96
market consensus · no value · model 30.5%
Double chance
12
1.26
market consensus · no value · model 73.4%
1X
1.69
market consensus · no value · model 57.1%
X2
1.32
market consensus · no value · model 69.5%
Handicap
2 0
1.54
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.32
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.79
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.93
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 33.3% | 3.04 32.9% | 2.75 36.4% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.10 32.3% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 2.15 46.5% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.21 45.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.69 59.2% |
| x2 | 1.32 75.8% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_4 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 1_5 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 2_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 2.32 43.1% | |
| 1.54 64.9% |
Match center
Utah Royals (w)
W
W
L
L
Utah Royals (w)
4:1
Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
Utah Royals (w)
1:0
Orlando Prayd (Zh)
Utah Royals (w)
1:3
Gotem (Zh)
Utah Royals (w)
2:3
Chikago (Zh)
2
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
6
Points
Washington Spirit (w)
W
W
L
W
W
Washington Spirit (w)
1:0
Denver Summit (Zh)
Washington Spirit (w)
2:1
Boston Legacy (Zh)
Washington Spirit (w)
0:1
Gotem (Zh)
Washington Spirit (w)
2:0
Sev. Karolina Kurazh (Zh)
Washington Spirit (w)
2:1
Khyuston Desh (Zh)
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyUtah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w)
Utah Royals (w)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Utah Royals (w) - Washington Spirit (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form