PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
05.08.2026 14:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings

BuxDu - Shortan

Football
B
BuxDu
- : -
Not started
S
Shortan

BuxDu go head-to-head with Shortan on August 5, 2026 in the UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): BuxDu 3-1-1, Shortan 2-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Shortan — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Shortan): model 31% · market 51% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · BuxDu28.8%
X · draw20.6%
2 · Shortan50.7%

Model estimate: win BuxDu 28.8%, draw 20.6%, win Shortan 50.7%. Model favourite — Shortan.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Shortan (odds2.43) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Shurtan: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.43)
  • • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction BuxDu - Shortan August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Shortan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.73 / X 3.67 / 2 1.79

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 24.4%
X 24.8%
2 50.8%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Pro League A
League table
BuxDu
#1210 ptsGP 123-1-810:26
Shortan
#226 ptsGP 128-2-218:12
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
BuxDu
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 0.91 Conceded 2.00
Shortan
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.53 xGA 1.18

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
BuxDu
Rating 1336
Shortan
Rating 1574

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

BuxDu 1 : 2 Shortan
13.81
X3.60
21.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 24.4% @ 3.73 / X 24.8% @ 3.67 / 2 50.8% @ 1.79
Match center

BuxDu - Shortan

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
BuxDu 24.4% 28.8%
Draw 24.8% 20.6% draw risk
Shortan 50.8% 50.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.8% / 20.6% / 50.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,565 / 1,525 BuxDu / Shortan Guzor
RD 200 / 211 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,165-1,965 / 1,103-1,948 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.79 market consensus · no value · model 50.7%
X 3.67 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.73 market consensus · no value · model 28.8%
Handicap
2 -1 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.40 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.49 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.11 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.11 47.4%
yes 1.65 60.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.42 22.6%
X 2.21 45.3%
2.31 43.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.29 77.5%
Over 1 1.68 59.5%
Under 0.5 3.29 30.4%
Under 1 2.06 48.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.49 67.1%
2.70 37.0%
2.45 40.8%
1.40 71.4%
Match center
BuxDu
D W W W L
31.07 11:15 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
BuxDu 0:0 Jayxun
24.07 12:00 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
BuxDu 2:0 Pakhtakor II
10.06 10:30 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
BuxDu 2:0 TerDU
05.06 11:00 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
BuxDu 2:1 Yaypan
31.05 10:30 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
BuxDu 0:4 LochinLochin
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Shortan
W L L W
30.07 14:00 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
Shortan 2:0 Respublika FA
24.07 11:30 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
Shortan 1:3 Aral
10.06 11:00 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
Shortan 0:2 Gazalkent
04.06 11:00 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
Shortan 1:0 Metallurg Bekabad
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBuxDu - Shortan

BuxDu
0 matches total
Shortan
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history