UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
Gazalkent - Aral
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Aral — 49%
Pure model vs market (2 · Aral): model 51% · market 48% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Gazalkent 26.2%, draw 25.0%, win Aral 48.8%. Model favourite — Aral.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Aral: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.87)
- • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gazalkent - Aral July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.50 / X 3.60 / 2 1.92
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Gazalkent - Aral
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.08 48.1% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.71 58.5% | 1.83 54.6% |
| x2 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.09 24.5% | |
| X | 2.17 46.1% |
| 2.47 40.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 1 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.12 32.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.99 50.3% |
Odds · 2 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betcity | 3.5 | 3.6 | 1.87 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.5 | 3.55 | 1.92 |
Full head-to-head historyGazalkent - Aral
Match history
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The Gazalkent - Aral breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form