Match center
Start
30.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
30.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Not started
UZBEKISTAN: Superliga Standings
Dinamo Samarqand - Neftchi Fargona
-
:
-
Not started
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Neftchi Fargona — 40%
Pure model vs market (2 · Neftchi Fargona): model 34% · market 40% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Dinamo Samarqand 32.3%, draw 27.8%, win Neftchi Fargona 39.9%. Model favourite — Neftchi Fargona.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Xdraw (odds3.30)
Score 1:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.30)
- • edge over the line +20 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dinamo Samarqand - Neftchi Fargona July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Neftchi Fargona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.97 / X 3.35 / 2 2.34
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.3%
1
31.7%
X
28.1%
2
40.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Dinamo Samarqand
3
:
1
Neftchi Fargona
13.06
X3.36
22.40
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Dinamo Samarqand - Neftchi Fargona
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Dinamo Samarqand
31.6%
32.3%
Draw
28.1%
27.8%
draw risk
Neftchi Fargona
40.3%
39.9%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
32.3% / 27.8% / 39.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,724 / 1,742
Dinamo Samarqand / Neftchi Fargona
RD
235 / 239
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,253-2,195 / 1,264-2,220
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.32
market consensus · no value · model 39.9%
X
3.30
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.92
market consensus · no value · model 32.3%
Double chance
12
1.30
market consensus · no value · model 72.2%
1X
1.55
market consensus · no value · model 60.1%
X2
1.37
market consensus · no value · model 67.7%
Handicap
2 0
1.69
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.08
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.75
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.91
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.83
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% |
| yes | 1.83 54.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% |
| x2 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.57 28.0% | |
| X | 2.14 46.7% |
| 3.01 33.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Under 1 | 1.90 52.6% |
Match center
Dinamo Samarqand
W
W
W
Dinamo Samarqand
3:2
Kokand 1912
Kokand 1912
Dinamo Samarqand
2:1
Surkhon
Dinamo Samarqand
2:1
Kyzylkum
Kyzylkum
3
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.3
Scored
1.3
Conceded
9
Points
Neftchi Fargona
D
W
W
Neftchi Fargona
1:1
Navbakhor
Navbakhor
Neftchi Fargona
5:1
Sogdiana
Sogdiana
Neftchi Fargona
2:1
Bukhara
Bukhara
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.7
Scored
1.0
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDinamo Samarqand - Neftchi Fargona
Dinamo Samarqand
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Dinamo Samarqand - Neftchi Fargona breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form