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Uzbekistan. Superleague

14-y Round 28.07.2026 13:00 UTC

28.07.2026 13:00 UTC 14-y Round

Not started

Uzbekistan. Superleague

Xorazm Urganch - Surkhon

Football

Xorazm Urganch

- : -

Not started

Surkhon

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Xorazm Urganch — 45%

Pure model vs market (1 · Xorazm Urganch): model 38% · market 45% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Xorazm Urganch44.9%

X · draw28.9%

2 · Surkhon26.1%

Model estimate: win Xorazm Urganch 44.9%, draw 28.9%, win Surkhon 26.1%. Model favourite — Xorazm Urganch.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Xorazm Urganch (odds2.03) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Khorezm Urgench: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.03)
• legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Xorazm Urganch - Surkhon July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Xorazm Urganch.

Line favourite market consensus: Xorazm Urganch. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.08 / 2 3.54
1X2 market: Xorazm Urganch 45.0% / X 29.4% / Surkhon 25.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.5%

1 45.0%

X 29.4%

2 25.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Xorazm Urganch 1 : 1 Surkhon

12.05

X3.23

23.68

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 1:0 · 45'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

45'

69% 21% 11%

Xorazm Urganch (1) Draw (X) Surkhon (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

LIVE

Match momentum (live)

1:0 45'

Xorazm Urganch Surkhon

3Corners4

Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.

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Match center

Start 28.07.2026 13:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Xorazm Urganch 45%

💹 Market Xorazm Urganch 4499%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Xorazm Urganch - Surkhon

Football, Khorezm - Surkhan, 28 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Khorezm - Surkhan, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Uzbekistana po futbolu (PFL) 2026, 14 round.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Xorazm Urganch 45.4% 44.9% market and model agree

Draw 29.4% 28.9% draw risk

Surkhon 25.3% 26.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 44.9% / 28.9% / 26.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,289 / 1,404 Xorazm Urganch / Surkhon

RD 254 / 282 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 781-1,797 / 840-1,969 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 26.1%

X 4.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 44.9%

Double chance

12 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 71.1%

1X 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 73.9%

X2 2.95 Fonbet · weak value +62.5% · model 55.1%

Handicap

2 -1 2.00 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

2 +1 10.00 Fonbet · line only

2 0 6.10 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.00 50.0%	2.06 48.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.18 31.5%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.13 32.0%
	3.30 30.3%	3.70 27.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.70 58.8%	1.82 55.0%
yes	2.02 49.5%	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.32 75.8%	1.19 84.0%
1x	1.22 82.0%	1.06 94.3%
x2	1.76 56.8%	2.95 33.9%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	7.00 14.3%
0_1	7.50 13.3%
0_2	13.00 7.7%
0_3	34.00 2.9%
0_4	91.00 1.1%
1_0	5.50 18.2%
1_1	5.50 18.2%
1_2	10.00 10.0%
1_3	26.00 3.9%
1_4	71.00 1.4%
2_0	8.00 12.5%
2_1	7.50 13.3%
2_2	13.00 7.7%
2_3	34.00 2.9%
2_4	91.00 1.1%
3_0	15.00 6.7%
3_1	15.00 6.7%
3_2	26.00 3.9%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-1-0, avg 3.0 gls

2025-08-08 · Khorezm 2:2 Surkhan

2025-03-16 · Khorezm 2:0 Surkhan

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.12 (Betcity) · X 3.2 (Pari) · 2 3.4 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2	3.2	3.35
Winline	2.07	3.15	3.35
Fonbet	2	3.2	3.35
Betcity	2.12	3	3.4

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Xorazm Urganch

L L

21.07 13:00 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Superliga Standings

Xorazm Urganch 1:2 Pakhtakor

16.07 13:00 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Superliga Standings

Xorazm Urganch 0:2 Sogdiana

0 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

0.5 Scored

2.0 Conceded

0 Points

Surkhon

L L

23.07 13:00 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Superliga Standings

Surkhon 1:2 Dinamo Samarkand

18.07 13:00 UTC UZBEKISTAN: Superliga Standings

Surkhon 1:3 Andizhan

0 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.5 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyXorazm Urganch - Surkhon

Xorazm Urganch

0 matches total

Surkhon

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Xorazm Urganch

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Surkhon

13 Games 13

3 Wins 4

4 Draws 3

6 Losses 6

10 Scored 14

17 Conceded 21

13 Points 15

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Udary v stvor 0

13 Games 13

3 Wins 4

4 Draws 3

6 Losses 6

10 Scored 14

17 Conceded 21

Khorezm Surkhan 13 Games 13 3 Wins 4 Draws 3 6 Losses 6 10 Scored 14 17 Conceded 21 13 Points 15 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 36% 32% 32% Double chance 34% 34% 32% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1303332' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');