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Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings
Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 21:00 UTC
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Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings

Carabobo FC - Trujillanos FC

Football
C
Carabobo FC
- : -
Not started
T
Trujillanos FC

Carabobo FC face Trujillanos FC on August 4, 2026 in the Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings.

Sportsbooks lean towards Carabobo FC, an implied 64% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Carabobo FC63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Carabobo FC): model 40% · market 65% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Carabobo FC ✓ Pick63.5%
market65%
X · draw23.2%
market23%
2 · Trujillanos FC13.4%
market12%

Model estimate: win Carabobo FC 63.5%, draw 23.2%, win Trujillanos FC 13.4%. Model favourite — Carabobo FC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Carabobo FC (odds1.29) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Karabobo: probability 50% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.29)
  • no edge over the line (-28 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Carabobo FC - Trujillanos FC August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Carabobo FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Carabobo FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 3.87 / 2 7.46
  • 1X2 market: Carabobo FC 64.4% / X 23.4% / Trujillanos FC 12.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2% 15 books · best price +2.9%
1 ✓ Pick 64.9%
X 23.2%
2 11.9%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Carabobo FC
#433 ptsGP 218-9-435:21
Trujillanos FC
#147 ptsGP 141-4-911:26
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Carabobo FC
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.89 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.44 xGA 0.94
Trujillanos FC
W-D-L 1-1-8 Scored 0.81 Conceded 2.09 xG 0.99 xGA 1.42

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Carabobo FC 3 : 1 Trujillanos FC
11.33
X3.94
210.30

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 64.5% @ 1.40 / X 23.3% @ 3.87 / 2 12.1% @ 7.46
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Carabobo FC 63%
💹 Market Carabobo FC 6437%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Carabobo FC - Trujillanos FC

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Carabobo FC 64.9% 63.5% market and model agree
Draw 23.2% 23.2% draw risk
Trujillanos FC 11.9% 13.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 63.5% / 23.2% / 13.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,646 / 1,717 Carabobo / Trujillanos
RD 215 / 260 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,216-2,075 / 1,197-2,238 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.46 market consensus · no value · model 13.4%
X 3.86 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 63.5%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 76.8%
1X 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 86.6%
X2 2.76 market consensus · no value · model 36.5%
Handicap
2 +1 2.06 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.58 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.24 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
X 3.90 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8%
8.25 12.1% 8.40 11.9% 7.00 14.3% 7.80 12.8% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.58 63.3%
yes 2.24 44.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.67 37.5% 2.85 35.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.50 11.8%
0_1 15.00 6.7%
0_2 41.00 2.4%
0_3 126.00 0.8%
1_0 5.00 20.0%
1_1 7.00 14.3%
1_2 19.00 5.3%
1_3 67.00 1.5%
2_0 5.25 19.1%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 61.00 1.6%
3_0 7.50 13.3%
3_1 10.00 10.0%
3_2 26.00 3.9%
3_3 71.00 1.4%
4_0 13.00 7.7%
4_1 17.00 5.9%
Match center
Carabobo FC
L W W L D
31.07 21:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Carabobo FC 0:1 Portugesa
07.06 20:00 UTC+0 Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Final
Carabobo FC 2:1 Puerto Kabello
31.05 19:00 UTC+0 Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Chetyrekhugolnyy Standings
Carabobo FC 5:1 MetropolitanosMetropolitanos
28.05 00:30 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Carabobo FC 0:2 BragantinoBragantino
24.05 21:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Carabobo FC 1:1 Deportivo TachiraDeportivo Tachira
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Trujillanos FC
W
01.08 21:00 UTC Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings
Trujillanos FC 2:0 USV
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points