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Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings
Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings
05.08.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings

Deportivo La Guaira - Metropolitanos FC

Football
D
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2
Finished
Metropolitanos FC
Metropolitanos FC

Deportivo La Guaira take on Metropolitanos FC on August 5, 2026 in the Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Deportivo La Guaira 2-0-3, Metropolitanos FC 2-1-2. The market favourite is Deportivo La Guaira at roughly 49%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Deportivo La Guaira — 49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Deportivo La Guaira): model 43% · market 49% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Deportivo La Guaira49.0%
X · draw28.7%
2 · Metropolitanos FC22.2%

Model estimate: win Deportivo La Guaira 49.0%, draw 28.7%, win Metropolitanos FC 22.2%. Model favourite — Deportivo La Guaira.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Deportivo La Guaira (odds2.47) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Deportivo La-Guayra: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.47)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo La Guaira - Metropolitanos FC August 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo La Guaira.

Strongest: Deportivo La Guaira - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.13 / 2 4.11
  • 1X2 market: Deportivo La Guaira 49.1% / X 28.9% / Metropolitanos FC 22.1%
  • Glicko: Deportivo La Guaira 49.0% / X 28.7% / Metropolitanos FC 22.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8% 17 books · best price +1258.7%
1 49.3%
X 29.0%
2 21.7%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Deportivo La Guaira
#337 ptsGP 219-10-223:14
Metropolitanos FC
#239 ptsGP 2111-6-426:19
Best price across 14 books
1 1.95 Betano
X 3.25 Betfair
2 4.34 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Deportivo La Guaira
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.10 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.24 xGA 1.09
Metropolitanos FC
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.00 Conceded 0.81 xG 1.14 xGA 1.28

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Deportivo La Guaira
Rating 1654
Metropolitanos FC
Rating 1621

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Deportivo La Guaira
49%
25.00
Draw
29%
4.70
Metropolitanos FC
22%
4.60
Handicap
Deportivo La Guaira (0)
69%
1.45
Metropolitanos FC (0)
31%
3.20
Total
Over 2.25
48%
1.98
Under 2.25
52%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportivo La Guaira 1 : 1 Metropolitanos FC
11.83
X3.06
24.40

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 00:10 UTC
1 44% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 28%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-2
Claude updated04.08.2026 00:13 UTC
1 46% ✓ favourite
X 27%
2 27%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (73%), dopolnitelno Under 2.5 (58%)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 44% 28% 28% 1:1 Under 2.5 Yes 1X
Claude 46% 27% 27% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X (73%), dopolnitelno Under 2.5 (58%)

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 49.1% @ 1.84 / X 28.9% @ 3.13 / 2 22.0% @ 4.11
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Deportivo La Guaira 45%
📐 Math model Deportivo La Guaira 49%
💹 Market Deportivo La Guaira 49%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Deportivo La Guaira - Metropolitanos FC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 49.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.928 / LogLoss 1.504
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 49.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.928 / LogLoss 1.504
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Deportivo La Guaira 49.4% 49.0% market and model agree
Draw 29.1% 28.7% draw risk
Metropolitanos FC 21.5% 22.2%
xG - 1.31 : 0.88
1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.0% / 28.7% / 22.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,388 / 1,413 Deportivo La Guaira / Metropolitanos FC
RD 270 / 232 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 848-1,928 / 949-1,878 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 22.2%
X 4.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.84 market consensus · no value · model 49.0%
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 71.3%
1X 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +638.9% · model 77.8%
X2 1.37 Fonbet · no value · model 51.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.55 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.23 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
4.10 24.4% 4.35 23.0% 4.20 23.8% 3.95 25.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.55 28.2% 1.71 58.5%
yes 1.23 81.3% 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 9.50 10.5%
x2 1.81 55.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.37 73.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 7.00 14.3%
0_1 8.50 11.8%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 51.00 2.0%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 5.25 19.1%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 11.00 9.1%
1_3 34.00 2.9%
1_4 91.00 1.1%
2_0 7.00 14.3%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 41.00 2.4%
2_4 101.00 1.0%
3_0 13.00 7.7%
3_1 13.00 7.7%
3_2 26.00 3.9%
Match center
Deportivo La Guaira
W L L W L
2026-08-01 Primera Division 2026, Clausura
Deportivo La Guaira Monagas 1:2 Deportivo La Guaira
2026-05-31 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group A
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0:2 Academia Puerto Cabello
2026-05-28 CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group C
Deportivo La Guaira Fluminense RJ 3:1 Deportivo La Guaira
2026-05-23 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group A
Deportivo La Guaira Portuguesa 0:2 Deportivo La Guaira
2026-05-21 CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group C
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2:4 Independiente Rivadavia
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Metropolitanos FC
W L W L D
2026-08-02 Primera Division 2026, Clausura
Metropolitanos FC 2:1 Academia Puerto Cabello Metropolitanos FC
2026-05-31 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B
Metropolitanos FC 1:5 Carabobo Metropolitanos FC
2026-05-24 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B
Estudiantes Merida 0:1 Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC
2026-05-17 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B
Metropolitanos FC 0:1 Deportivo Tachira Metropolitanos FC
2026-05-12 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B
Deportivo Tachira 1:1 Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points