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Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Final
Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Final
07.06.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
07.06.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Final

Karabobo - Puerto Kabello

Football
K
Karabobo
2 : 1
Finished
P
Puerto Kabello

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Karabobo - Puerto Kabello June 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Karabobo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 4.20 / 2 12.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 30.8%
1 75.7%
X 18.2%
2 6.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Karabobo
#719 ptsGP 134-7-223:14
Puerto Kabello
#817 ptsGP 134-5-416:14
Best price across 11 books
1 1.95 William Hill
X 3.10 BetVictor
2 4.80 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Karabobo
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.44 xGA 0.97
1 -0.02 X +0.40 2 -7.05 1 (DNB) +0.72
Puerto Kabello
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.34 xGA 0.95
1 -0.77 X -5.90 2 +2.17 1 (DNB) -1.80

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Karabobo
Rating 1647 xG 1.29 Win 44%
Puerto Kabello
Rating 1594 xG 0.96 Win 28%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 07.06.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Karabobo - Puerto Kabello

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 4.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 7.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.06 94.3%
yes 6.80 14.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 10.00 10.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.05 95.2%
2.00 50.0%
7.80 12.8%
9.50 10.5%
11.00 9.1%
1.04 96.2%
11.50 8.7%
7.20 13.9%
1.72 58.1%
1.04 96.2%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
7.80 12.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 2 4.80 20.8%
Over 2.5 4.60 21.7%
Over 3 9.00 11.1%
Over 3.5 10.50 9.5%
Over 4.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 2 1.13 88.5%
Under 2.5 1.14 87.7%
Under 3 1.03 97.1%
Under 3.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 4.5 1.03 97.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKarabobo - Puerto Kabello

Karabobo
0 matches total
Puerto Kabello
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history