Hungary: NB I. Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Ferencvaros — 62%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ferencvaros): model 36% · market 63% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ferencvaros 61.5%, draw 21.2%, win Kalighat MS 17.3%. Model favourite — Ferencvaros.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.01 49.8% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 2.45 40.8% | 2.50 40.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.89 52.9% | |
| X | 2.43 41.2% |
| 6.30 15.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
Ferencvaros
Paksh
Kalighat MS
Der
Full head-to-head historyFerencvaros - Kalighat MS
The Ferencvaros - Kalighat MS breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
