Hungary: NB I. Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Ujpest — 43%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ujpest): model 49% · market 42% Δ +7 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Ujpest 42.9%, draw 26.8%, win Debretsen 30.3%. Model favourite — Ujpest.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.23 44.8% |
| yes | 1.59 62.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.31 76.3% | 1.36 73.5% |
| x2 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.56 64.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| X | 2.31 43.3% |
| 3.46 28.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.41 41.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.46 68.5% |
Full head-to-head historyUjpest - Debretsen
The Ujpest - Debretsen breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
