UELS: Valliyskaya Premier League Standings
Ammanford AFC - Colwyn Bay
Ammanford AFC take on Colwyn Bay on August 7, 2026 in the UELS: Valliyskaya Premier League Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ammanford AFC 0-1-0, Colwyn Bay 0-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Colwyn Bay — 53%
Pure model vs market (2 · Colwyn Bay): model 31% · market 54% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ammanford AFC 23.3%, draw 24.1%, win Colwyn Bay 52.6%. Model favourite — Colwyn Bay.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Ammanford: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ammanford AFC - Colwyn Bay August 7, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.80 / X 4.13 / 2 1.72
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Premier LeagueModel consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 36% | 30% | 34% | 1:1 | Under 3.0 | Yes | X2 |
| Claude | 32% | 27% | 41% | 1:1 | Under 3.5 | Yes | Double chance X2 (Kolvin Bey ne proigraet), spravedlivyy kef 1.47 |
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Ammanford AFC - Colwyn Bay
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 1.89 52.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.94 51.6% | 2.00 50.0% |
| x2 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.19 84.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| X | 2.37 42.2% |
| 2.05 48.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.54 39.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.42 70.4% |
Briton Ferri
Colwyn Bay
Full head-to-head historyAmmanford AFC - Colwyn Bay
Match history
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The Ammanford AFC - Colwyn Bay breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form