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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

AEK Athens FC - St. Truiden

Football
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
- : -
Not started
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 St. Truiden — 56%

1 · AEK Athens FC26.2%
X · draw18.1%
2 · St. Truiden ✓ Pick55.7%

Model estimate: win AEK Athens FC 26.2%, draw 18.1%, win St. Truiden 55.7%. Model favourite — St. Truiden.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2St. Truiden (odds2.20) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Sint-Treyden 🇧🇪: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
  • • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AEK Athens FC - St. Truiden August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
AEK Athens FC
#5543 ptsGP 21-0-14:4
ARRAY
St. Truiden
#2174 ptsGP 21-1-01:0
ARRAY
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
AEK Athens FC
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.52 Conceded 1.24 xG 2.19 xGA 1.01
St. Truiden
W-D-L 8-1-1 Scored 2.15 Conceded 0.48 xG 1.97 xGA 1.45

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
AEK Athens FC
Rating 1625
St. Truiden
Rating 1923

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

AEK Athens FC - St. Truiden

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
AEK Athens FC - 26.2%
Draw - 18.1% draw risk
St. Truiden - 55.7% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 26.2% / 18.1% / 55.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,632 / 1,915 AEK Athens / Sint-Treyden 🇧🇪
RD 183 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,265-1,999 / 1,550-2,280 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
AEK Athens FC
L W W D W
29.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
AEK Athens FC 1:2 Samsunspor 🇹🇷
26.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
AEK Athens FC 3:2 Zvolle 🇳🇱Zvolle 🇳🇱
18.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
AEK Athens FC 2:1 Groningen 🇳🇱
15.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
AEK Athens FC 0:0 Vitess 🇳🇱Vitess 🇳🇱
12.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
AEK Athens FC 2:1 Grafskhap 🇳🇱Grafskhap 🇳🇱
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
St. Truiden
D W W W W
25.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
St. Truiden 0:0 Al-Dzhazira 🇦🇪
22.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
St. Truiden 1:0 Lezh 🇧🇪
18.07 10:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
St. Truiden 2:1 Lyutsern 🇨🇭
15.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
St. Truiden 4:0 Patro Eysden 🇧🇪Patro Eysden 🇧🇪
04.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
St. Truiden 6:0 Zepperen-Brustem 🇧🇪
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points