Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
AEK Athens face Sint-Truidense on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): AEK Athens 3-1-1, Sint-Truidense 5-0-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 AEK Athens — 48%
Pure model vs market (1 · AEK Athens): model 31% · market 49% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win AEK Athens 47.5%, draw 25.0%, win Sint-Truidense 27.5%. Model favourite — AEK Athens.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.33 42.9% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.56 64.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% |
| x2 | 1.71 58.5% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.52 39.7% | |
| X | 2.25 44.4% |
| 3.87 25.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.47 40.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.21 31.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
AEK Athens
Sint-Truidense
Full head-to-head historyAEK Athens - Sint-Truidense
The AEK Athens - Sint-Truidense breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
