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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
05.08.2026 17:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 17:00 UTC
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Al Ain Abu Dhabi - Toulouse

Football
A
Al Ain Abu Dhabi
- : -
Not started
Toulouse
Toulouse

Al Ain Abu Dhabi take on Toulouse on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Al Ain Abu Dhabi 0-1-0, Toulouse 0-2-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Al Ain Abu Dhabi — 49%

1 · Al Ain Abu Dhabi48.8%
X · draw19.2%
2 · Toulouse31.9%

Model estimate: win Al Ain Abu Dhabi 48.8%, draw 19.2%, win Toulouse 31.9%. Model favourite — Al Ain Abu Dhabi.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Al Ain Abu Dhabi (odds3.95) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Al-Ain 🇦🇪: probability 50% vs 25% on the line (odds 3.95)
  • • edge over the line +25 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Ain Abu Dhabi - Toulouse August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.95 / X 3.85 / 2 1.73

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 23.2%
X 23.8%
2 53.0%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 23.2% @ 3.95 / X 23.8% @ 3.85 / 2 53.0% @ 1.73
Match center

Al Ain Abu Dhabi - Toulouse

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Al Ain Abu Dhabi 23.2% 48.8% Glicko contrarian
Draw 23.8% 19.2% draw risk
Toulouse 53.0% 31.9% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.8% / 19.2% / 31.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,535 / 1,607 Al Ain Abu Dhabi / Toulouse
RD 277 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 980-2,090 / 1,130-2,085 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.73 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.9%
X 3.85 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.95 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.32 23.2%
X 2.37 42.2%
2.24 44.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.58 63.3%
Under 1 2.28 43.9%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.03 49.3%
1.73 57.8%

Team To Score First

Outcome Leon
2.49 40.2%
X 15.60 6.4%
1.63 61.4%
Match center
Al Ain Abu Dhabi
D
28.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Al Ain Abu Dhabi 2:2 Elche 🇪🇸
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Toulouse
D D
31.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Toulouse 0:0 Real Sosedad 🇪🇸Real Sosedad 🇪🇸
25.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Toulouse 1:1 Rodez 🇫🇷
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
2 Points