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Start
29.07.2026 10:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished
World: Club Friendlies
Al-Shabab 🇸🇦 - Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat)
A
Al-Shabab 🇸🇦
1
:
5
Finished
A
Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Al-Shabab 🇸🇦 — 57%
Model estimate: win Al-Shabab 🇸🇦 57.4%, draw 18.3%, win Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat) 24.3%. Model favourite — Al-Shabab 🇸🇦.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Al-Shabab 🇸🇦 (odds4.80)
Score 2:1
Under 5.5
(odds1.72) ✗
Handicap H1 +1
(odds1.73) ✗
confidence 57%
✗ outcome missed
- • liniya na pik P1 6.00→4.80 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
- • Model backs Al-Shabab 🇸🇦: probability 57% vs 21% on the line (odds 4.80)
- • edge over the line +37 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1
- • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
- • at line 5.5 (odds 1.72)
- • Handicap F1 +1: score forecast 2:1 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.73).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Al-Shabab 🇸🇦 - Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat) July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat).
Line favourite Fonbet: Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.80 / X 4.15 / 2 1.60
- Glicko: Al-Shabab 🇸🇦 57.4% / X 18.3% / Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat) 24.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.4%
1 ✓ Pick
19.4%
X
22.4%
2
58.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
6.00
↓ 4.80
1X2 X
4.30
↓ 4.15
1X2 2
1.45
↑ 1.60
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Al-Shabab 🇸🇦
2
:
2
Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat)
12.56
X3.35
22.36
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Al-Shabab 🇸🇦 - Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat)
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
Form
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:5
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 57.4% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.935 / LogLoss 1.413
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 57.4% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.935 / LogLoss 1.413
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Al-Shabab 🇸🇦
19.4%
57.4%
Glicko contrarian
Draw
22.4%
18.3%
draw risk
Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat)
58.2%
24.3%
market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
57.4% / 18.3% / 24.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,600 / 1,500
Al-Shabab 🇸🇦 / Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat)
RD
291 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,018-2,182 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.60
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 24.3%
X
4.15
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
4.80
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 57.4%
Double chance
12
1.19
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 81.7%
1X
2.20
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 75.7%
X2
1.15
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 42.6%
Handicap
2 -1
1.05
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.00
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
7.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.07
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.07 48.3% |
| yes | 1.68 59.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 2.20 45.5% |
| x2 | 1.15 87.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.73 57.8% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 7.00 14.3% | |
| 8.00 12.5% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 3.90 25.6% | |
| 4.60 21.7% | |
| 6.90 14.5% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 1.53 65.4% | |
| 4.60 21.7% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.25 80.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1 | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 2 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 3 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 4 | 3.80 26.3% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 5.5 | 11.50 8.7% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 7.5 | 6.20 16.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 10.50 9.5% |
| Under 1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.15 24.1% |
| Under 2 | 3.30 30.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 3 | 1.68 59.5% |
Match center
Al-Shabab 🇸🇦
W
Al-Shabab 🇸🇦
1:0
Al-Nasr 🇦🇪
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAl-Shabab 🇸🇦 - Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat)
Al-Shabab 🇸🇦
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Al-Shabab 🇸🇦 - Al-Akhli Dokha (Kat) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form