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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Al Ahli Doha

Football
A
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- : -
Not started
A
Al Ahli Doha

Al-Hilal Saudi FC go head-to-head with Al Ahli Doha on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-0-1, Al Ahli Doha 1-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC — 42%

Pure model vs market (1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC): model 55% · market 36% Δ +19 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC41.7%
X · draw26.7%
2 · Al Ahli Doha31.6%

Model estimate: win Al-Hilal Saudi FC 41.7%, draw 26.7%, win Al Ahli Doha 31.6%. Model favourite — Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Al-Hilal Saudi FC (odds1.37) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • • Model backs Al-Khilyal 🇸🇦: probability 54% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
  • • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Al Ahli Doha August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Al-Hilal Saudi FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.70 / X 3.90 / 2 4.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin -25.6%
1 36.3%
X 34.5%
2 29.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
#1246 ptsGP 32-0-14:3
Al Ahli Doha
#11300 ptsGP 10-0-10:3

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1 : 1 Al Ahli Doha
12.04
X3.02
23.56

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 36.3% @ 3.70 / X 34.5% @ 3.90 / 2 29.2% @ 4.60
Match center

Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Al Ahli Doha

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 40.8% 41.7% market and model agree
Draw 27.1% 26.7% draw risk
Al Ahli Doha 32.1% 31.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 41.7% / 26.7% / 31.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,703 / 1,500 Al Khor / Al-Nassr Riyadh (w)
RD 246 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,212-2,194 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.28 market consensus · no value · model 31.6%
X 3.25 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.52 market consensus · no value · model 41.7%
Double chance
12 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 73.3%
1X 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 68.4%
X2 1.67 market consensus · no value · model 58.3%
Handicap
2 +1 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.57 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 3.58 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.24 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.24 44.6%
yes 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.49 67.1%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.51 66.2%
x2 2.10 47.6% 1.23 81.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.82 35.5%
X 2.19 45.7%
3.47 28.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.69 59.2%
Under 1 2.04 49.0%
Match center
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
L W W
29.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1:2 MK Algeria (Alzh)
24.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2:0 Mamelodi Sandauns 🇿🇦
19.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2:1 Shturm II 🇦🇹
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Al Ahli Doha
W
30.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Al Ahli Doha 5:1 Al-Shabab 🇸🇦
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points