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28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Alfreton Town - Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
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Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ 65%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ): model 56% ยท market 66% ฮ โ10 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Alfreton Town 14.9%, draw 19.8%, win Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 65.4%. Model favourite โ Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ (odds3.45)
Score 0:3
confidence 73%
- • Model backs Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 73% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.45)
- • edge over the line +44 pp โ value pick
- • Expected score 0:3.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Alfreton Town - Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Line favourite market consensus: Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.45 / X 4.54 / 2 1.37
- 1X2 market: Alfreton Town 14.1% / X 19.9% / Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 66.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.5%
1
14.0%
X
19.9%
2 ✓ Pick
66.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Alfreton Town
1
:
3
Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
17.24
X4.60
21.34
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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๐ฅ Humans vs Machines
๐ Math model
Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 65%
๐น Market
Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 6596%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center
Alfreton Town - Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Form
5/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Alfreton Town
14.2%
14.9%
Draw
19.8%
19.8%
draw risk
Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
66.0%
65.4%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
14.9% / 19.8% / 65.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,132 / 1,574
Alfreton Town / Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
RD
198 / 252
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
737-1,528 / 1,071-2,078
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.37
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 65.4%
X
4.55
market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
6.43
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 14.9%
Double chance
12
1.14
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 80.2%
1X
2.63
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 34.6%
X2
1.08
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 85.1%
Handicap
2 -1
1.68
market consensus ยท line only
2 +1
1.49
market consensus ยท line only
2 0
2.27
market consensus ยท line only
1 -1
2.45
market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.53
market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5
2.31
market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
1.97
market consensus ยท line only
Yes
1.78
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.24 13.8% | 5.75 17.4% | 6.00 16.7% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.60 15.2% | |
| X | 4.60 21.7% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.80 20.8% |
| 1.34 74.6% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.97 50.8% |
| yes | 1.78 56.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 2.50 40.0% | 2.75 36.4% |
| x2 | 1.05 95.2% | 1.10 90.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_3 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_4 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_5 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_6 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_3 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_4 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_5 | 31.00 3.2% |
Match center
Odds ยท 4 bookmakers
Best price: 1 6.3 (Pari) ยท X 4.7 (Pari) ยท 2 1.41 (Winline)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 6.3 | 4.7 | 1.4 |
| Winline | 6 | 4.5 | 1.41 |
| Fonbet | 6.3 | 4.7 | 1.4 |
| Betcity | 5.9 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Alfreton Town
L
L
L
D
L
Alfreton Town
0:1
Roterkhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Alfreton Town
0:2
Derbi Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Derbi Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Alfreton Town
1:2
Boston Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Boston Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Alfreton Town
0:0
Berton Albion ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Berton Albion ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Alfreton Town
0:5
Notts Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Notts Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
0.2
Scored
2.0
Conceded
1
Points
Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
L
W
Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
3:4
Barrou ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2:1
Retford ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.5
Scored
2.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAlfreton Town - Mansfild Taun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Alfreton Town
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
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