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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Altrincham - Manchester United U21

Football
A
Altrincham
- : -
Not started
M
Manchester United U21
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Altrincham — 41%

Pure model vs market (1 · Altrincham): model 40% · market 42% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Altrincham41.3%
X · draw23.0%
2 · Manchester United U2135.7%

Model estimate: win Altrincham 41.3%, draw 23.0%, win Manchester United U21 35.7%. Model favourite — Altrincham.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.98) Score 1:1 Under 3 (odds1.93) confidence 50%
  • • liniya na pik X 4.10→4.05 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 25% on the line (odds 3.98)
  • • edge over the line +25 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1
  • • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~2 goals
  • • at line 3 (odds 1.93).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Altrincham - Manchester United U21 July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Altrincham. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.20 / X 4.05 / 2 2.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 41.9%
X 22.7%
2 35.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.20 → 2.20
1X2 X 4.10 ↓ 4.05
1X2 P2 2.60 → 2.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Altrincham
#8931 ptsGP 20-1-12:5
ARRAY
Manchester United U21
not in table

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 41.9% @ 2.20 / X 22.7% @ 4.05 / 2 35.4% @ 2.60
Match center

Altrincham - Manchester United U21

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Altrincham 41.3% 41.3% market and model agree
Draw 23.1% 23.0% draw risk
Manchester United U21 35.6% 35.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 41.3% / 23.0% / 35.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,418 / 1,500 Altrincham / Manchester United U21
RD 241 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 935-1,900 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 Fonbet · no value · model 35.7%
X 4.05 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.20 Fonbet · no value · model 41.3%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 77.0%
1X 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 64.3%
X2 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 58.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.60 38.5% 2.65 37.7%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.45 69.0%
x2 1.60 62.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.67 37.5%
X 2.51 39.8%
3.05 32.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.14 46.7%
Under 1.5 1.63 61.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 4.0 gls
2024-11-19 · Oltringem 0:4 Manchester Yunayted U21
Source: ruscore
Altrincham
L D D W W
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Altrincham Altrincham 2:5 Macclesfield
2026-07-21 Club Friendly Games 2026
Altrincham Chorley 0:0 Altrincham
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Altrincham Colwyn Bay 2:2 Altrincham
2026-04-25 National League 25/26
Altrincham Altrincham 3:1 Gateshead
2026-04-18 National League 25/26
Altrincham Sutton United 1:2 Altrincham
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Manchester United U21
L W W W L
2026-05-16 U21 Premier League 2 25/26, Playoffs
Brighton U21 1:0 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21
2026-05-08 U21 Premier League 2 25/26, Playoffs
Manchester City U21 3:4 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21
2026-05-04 U21 Premier League 2 25/26, Playoffs
Crystal Palace U21 0:2 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21
2026-04-26 U21 Premier League 2 25/26, Playoffs
Manchester United U21 3:2 Sunderland U21 Manchester United U21
2026-04-10 U21 Premier League 2 25/26
Manchester United U21 1:3 Newcastle U21 Manchester United U21
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
9 Points