Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
02.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Aluminiy ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ - Partizan Beograd

Futbol
A
Aluminiy ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
1 : 2
Finished
P
Partizan Beograd
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Aluminiy ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ (odds13.88) Score 1:0 (odds7.88) confidence 50% โœ— outcome missed
  • Model backs Aluminiy ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.93)
  • edge over the line +16 pp โ€” value pick
  • Expected score 1:0 (odds 7.88).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aluminiy ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ - Partizan Beograd July 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Partizan Beograd. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 8.90 / X 7.30 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 22.0%
1 9.2%
X 11.2%
2 79.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 3 books
1 7.55 1xBet
X 5.80 Unibet
2 1.27 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data โ€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Aluminiy ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.57 xG 1.58 xGA 1.71
Partizan Beograd
W-D-L 1-5-4 Scored 0.91 Conceded 1.84 xG 1.30 xGA 1.77

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Aluminiy ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
Rating 1374 xG 0.65 Win 10%
Partizan Beograd
Rating 1463 xG 2.09 Win 71%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ€” for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Aluminiy ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ - Partizan Beograd

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet ยท line only
X 7.30 Fonbet ยท line only
1 8.17 market consensus ยท line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet ยท line only
1X 7.60 Fonbet ยท line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet ยท line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.32 Fonbet ยท line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet ยท line only
1 +1 2.95 Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 1.16 Fonbet ยท line only
Yes 4.40 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.16 86.2% 2.27 44.1%
yes 4.40 22.7% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.03 97.1% 1.09 91.7% 1.04 96.2%
1x 3.13 32.0% 3.60 27.8% 7.60 13.2%
x2 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
7.10 14.1%
X 2.95 33.9%
1.62 61.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 1.5 1.84 54.4%