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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
03.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Not started

Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ

Football
A
Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
- : -
Not started
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Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ

Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ meet Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ β€” 52%

1 Β· Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ52.1%
X Β· draw19.4%
2 Β· Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ28.5%

Model estimate: win Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 28.5%. Model favourite β€” Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ (odds2.25) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
  • edge over the line +6 pp β€” value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / X 3.80 / 2 2.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.6% 2 books
1 35.8%
X 23.8%
2 40.4%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 1 : 1 Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
12.61
X3.25
22.38

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 35.7% @ 2.55 / X 23.9% @ 3.80 / 2 40.4% @ 2.25
Match center

Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - 52.1% model pick
Draw - 19.4% draw risk
Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - 28.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Amorebeta πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ / Arenas Klub πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.24 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 28.5%
X 3.80 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.53 market consensus Β· value +31.9% Β· model 52.1%
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 80.6%
1X 1.53 market consensus Β· value +9.4% Β· model 71.5%
X2 1.41 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 47.9%
Handicap
2 0 1.72 market consensus Β· line only
1 0 1.99 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.16 86.2% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.48 67.6% 1.57 63.7%
x2 1.37 73.0% 1.45 69.0%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0%
1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
2.23 44.8% 2.25 44.4%