Match center
Start
03.07.2026 07:00 UTC
03.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Arka Gdynya 🇵🇱 - Petrolul Ploiesti
A
Arka Gdynya 🇵🇱
2
:
0
Finished
P
Petrolul Ploiesti
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Arka Gdynya 🇵🇱 - Petrolul Ploiesti July 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arka Gdynya 🇵🇱.
Line favourite market consensus: Arka Gdynya 🇵🇱. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 3.76 / 2 2.94
- 1X2 market: Arka Gdynya 🇵🇱 45.3% / X 24.0% / Petrolul Ploiesti 30.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.9%
1
45.3%
X
24.0%
2
30.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 10 books
1
2.17
Dafabet
X
4.10
Bet365
2
3.00
Dafabet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Arka Gdynya 🇵🇱
W-D-L 6-1-3
Scored 2.11
Conceded 0.80
xG 1.11
xGA 1.99
Petrolul Ploiesti
W-D-L 4-3-3
Scored 1.97
Conceded 1.52
xG 1.43
xGA 1.64
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Arka Gdynya 🇵🇱
Rating 1684
Petrolul Ploiesti
Rating 1699
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Arka Gdynya 🇵🇱 - Petrolul Ploiesti
Form
0/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.92
market consensus · line only
X
4.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.08
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.18
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.04
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.90
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.95
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
4.10
Fonbet · line only
2 0
10.00
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.07
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Yes
5.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.99 50.3% | |
| X | 3.72 26.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 2.96 33.8% | 2.80 35.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.94 34.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.09 91.7% | 2.78 36.0% |
| yes | 5.70 17.5% | 1.41 70.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 1.54 64.9% | 1.69 59.2% | 5.90 17.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.57 38.9% | |
| X | 2.40 41.7% |
| 3.39 29.5% |
Match center
Petrolul Ploiesti
W
L
Petrolul Ploiesti
4:1
Khoynitse 🇵🇱
Petrolul Ploiesti
1:4
Olimpiya Grudzendz 🇵🇱
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.5
Scored
2.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyArka Gdynya 🇵🇱 - Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynya 🇵🇱
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals