Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Arosa face Pontevedra on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Arosa 4-0-1, Pontevedra 1-3-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Pontevedra — 50%
Pure model vs market (2 · Pontevedra): model 39% · market 51% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Arosa 22.6%, draw 27.2%, win Pontevedra 50.2%. Model favourite — Pontevedra.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.72 58.1% | 1.76 56.8% |
| yes | 1.98 50.5% | 1.99 50.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% |
| 1x | 1.79 55.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| x2 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| X | 2.03 49.3% |
| 2.44 41.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.44 69.4% |
| Over 1 | 2.06 48.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.61 38.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.68 59.5% |
Full head-to-head historyArosa - Pontevedra
The Arosa - Pontevedra breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
