Champions League UEFA. Third qualifying round. First leg
Arsenal meet Betis on August 5, 2026 in the Champions League UEFA. Third qualifying round. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Arsenal 4-1-0, Betis 4-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Arsenal, an implied 58% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Arsenal — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Arsenal): model 44% · market 59% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Arsenal 58.1%, draw 22.7%, win Betis 19.2%. Model favourite — Arsenal.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
football, Arsenal - Betis, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Arsenal - Betis, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 5.25 19.1% | 5.16 19.4% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.90 20.4% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.90 20.4% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.13 47.0% | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% | 1.63 61.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 2.43 41.2% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.50 40.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_2 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_3 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 3_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.65 | 4.05 | 4.8 |
| Winline | 1.72 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
| Fonbet | 1.65 | 4.05 | 4.8 |
| Betcity | 1.8 | 3.9 | 4 |
Betis
Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Betis
Arsenal Betis 1 Games 2 1 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 4 Scored 7 1 Conceded 0 3 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery No dannykh Glavnye trenery Manuel Pellegrini Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 62% 22% 16% Double chance 42% 39% 19% Materialy po prognozam Segodnya «PSZh» and «Arsenal» voydut v istoriyu «PSZh» — «Arsenal»: Safonov stanet dvukratnym Ne Safonov, no Khvicha! Vybiraem glavnogo geroya final «PSZh» — «Arsenal» Nikakogo otkrytogo futbola! Chego zhdat ot final Ligi chempionov «PSZh» — «Arsenal» Nu, davay, napaday! Pochemu match «Atletiko» — «Arsenal» prevratitsya v mem V «Barsu» veryat, v «Liverpul» and «Real» — No. Chego zhdat ot otvetnykh matches quarter-final LCh «Bavariya», «PSZh» and «Real» vpechatlili, no oni ne favority Ligi chempionov! «Arsenal» — favorit, «Real» protiv «Siti», a kto vyigraet Ligu chempionov? Arteta and zdes lider, «Barsa» blizka k stykam. Rasklady na poslednie tury Ligi chempionov Mareska zasluzhil! Chego zhdat ot final Ligi konferentsiy «Betis» — «Chelsi» CHAMP('page
The Arsenal - Betis breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
