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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 18:30 UTC
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Arsenal - Betis

Football
A
Arsenal
- : -
Not started
Betis
Betis

Arsenal meet Betis on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Arsenal 4-1-0, Betis 4-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Arsenal57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Arsenal): model 44% · market 57% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Arsenal56.6%
X · draw23.2%
2 · Betis20.2%

Model estimate: win Arsenal 56.6%, draw 23.2%, win Betis 20.2%. Model favourite — Arsenal.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Arsenal (odds2.37) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Arsenal 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Betis August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.62 / X 4.10 / 2 4.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8% 4 books · best price +2.2%
1 57.4%
X 23.3%
2 19.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.62 → 1.62
1X2 X 4.10 → 4.10
1X2 P2 4.90 → 4.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Arsenal
#2823 ptsGP 11-0-04:1
Betis
#866 ptsGP 32-0-15:1
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Arsenal
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.92 Conceded 1.27 xG 1.95 xGA 1.12 Corners 3.3
Betis
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.84 Conceded 0.93 xG 1.85 xGA 1.07

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Arsenal
Rating 1765
Betis
Rating 1781

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 57.9% @ 1.62 / X 22.9% @ 4.10 / 2 19.2% @ 4.90
Match center

Arsenal - Betis

football, Arsenal - Betis, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Arsenal - Betis, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Arsenal 57.4% 56.6% market and model agree
Draw 23.3% 23.2% draw risk
Betis 19.3% 20.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.6% / 23.2% / 20.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,790 / 1,804 Arsenal / Betis
RD 273 / 194 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,245-2,335 / 1,415-2,192 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 Fonbet · no value · model 20.2%
X 4.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.62 Fonbet · no value · model 56.6%
Double chance
12 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 76.8%
1X 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 79.8%
X2 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 43.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.78 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.98 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.63 61.4% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.13 88.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.25 44.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.12 47.2%
X 2.30 43.5%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.59 62.9%
Under 1 2.21 45.3%
Match center
Arsenal
W D W W W
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Arsenal Girona 1:4 Arsenal
2026-05-30 UEFA Champions League 25/26, Knockout stage
Arsenal PSG 1:1 Arsenal
2026-05-24 Premier League 25/26
Arsenal Crystal Palace 1:2 Arsenal
2026-05-18 Premier League 25/26
Arsenal Arsenal 1:0 Burnley
2026-05-10 Premier League 25/26
Arsenal West Ham 0:1 Arsenal
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Betis
W W L W W
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Betis 1:0 Almeria Betis
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Betis 4:0 Lyon Betis
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Granada 1:0 Betis Betis
2026-07-22 Club Friendly Games 2026
Recreativo 0:1 Betis Betis
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Sportfreunde Lotte 0:3 Betis Betis
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Betis

Arsenal
0 matches total
Betis
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Arsenal
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Betis
Arsenal Team comparison Betis
1 Games 2
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
4 Scored 7
1 Conceded 0
3 Points 6
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
1 Games 2
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
4 Scored 7
1 Conceded 0

Arsenal Betis 1 Games 2 1 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 4 Scored 7 1 Conceded 0 3 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery No dannykh Glavnye trenery Manuel Pellegrini Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 64% 18% 18% Double chance 41% 41% 18% Materialy po prognozam Segodnya «PSZh» and «Arsenal» voydut v istoriyu «PSZh» — «Arsenal»: Safonov stanet dvukratnym Ne Safonov, no Khvicha! Vybiraem glavnogo geroya final «PSZh» — «Arsenal» Nikakogo otkrytogo futbola! Chego zhdat ot final Ligi chempionov «PSZh» — «Arsenal» Nu, davay, napaday! Pochemu match «Atletiko» — «Arsenal» prevratitsya v mem V «Barsu» veryat, v «Liverpul» and «Real» — No. Chego zhdat ot otvetnykh matches quarter-final LCh «Bavariya», «PSZh» and «Real» vpechatlili, no oni ne favority Ligi chempionov! «Arsenal» — favorit, «Real» protiv «Siti», a kto vyigraet Ligu chempionov? Arteta and zdes lider, «Barsa» blizka k stykam. Rasklady na poslednie tury Ligi chempionov Mareska zasluzhil! Chego zhdat ot final Ligi konferentsiy «Betis» — «Chelsi» CHAMP('page