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30.07.2026 12:00 UTC
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30.07.2026 12:00 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Augsburg - Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
A
Augsburg
-
:
-
Not started
B
Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ 46%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ): model 60% ยท market 44% ฮ +16 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Augsburg 30.0%, draw 24.2%, win Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 45.8%. Model favourite โ Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ (odds1.78)
Score 0:2
Under 3
(odds1.90)
Handicap H2 -1
(odds2.25)
confidence 65%
- • Model backs Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 65% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
- • edge over the line +9 pp โ value pick
- • Expected score 0:2
- • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 3 (odds 1.90)
- • Handicap F2 -1: score forecast 0:2 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 2.25).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Augsburg - Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Line favourite market consensus: Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.08 / X 3.64 / 2 2.13
- 1X2 market: Augsburg 30.5% / X 25.4% / Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 44.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.9%
1
30.4%
X
25.7%
2
43.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
3.70
โ 3.70
1X2 X
4.30
โ 3.80
1X2 P2
1.78
โ 1.88
โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Augsburg
1
:
2
Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
12.96
X3.66
22.00
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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๐ฅ Humans vs Machines
๐ Math model
Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 46%
๐น Market
Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 4405%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center
Augsburg - Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Augsburg
30.5%
30.0%
Draw
24.6%
24.2%
draw risk
Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
45.0%
45.8%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
30.0% / 24.2% / 45.8%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,581 / 2,109
Augsburg / Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
RD
282 / 314
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,016-2,145 / 1,482-2,737
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.88
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 45.8%
X
3.80
Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.70
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 30.0%
Double chance
12
1.25
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 75.8%
1X
1.88
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 54.2%
X2
1.25
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 70.0%
Handicap
2 -1
1.09
Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1
2.40
Fonbet ยท line only
2 0
1.42
Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1
5.70
Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.52
Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5
2.35
Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
2.45
Fonbet ยท line only
Yes
1.50
Fonbet ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.67 37.5% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.75 36.4% | 3.85 26.0% | 2.67 37.5% | |
| X | 3.34 29.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 4.10 24.4% | 3.34 29.9% |
| 2.51 39.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.25 44.4% | 1.76 56.8% | 2.51 39.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.88 53.2% |
| x2 | 1.25 80.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.80 10.2% |
| 0_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_4 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_4 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
Match center
Odds ยท 2 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.87 (Betcity) ยท X 4 (Winline) ยท 2 4 (Betcity)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 1.72 | 4 | 3.7 |
| Betcity | 1.87 | 3.6 | 4 |
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Augsburg
D
Augsburg
1:1
Saarbryukken ๐ฉ๐ช
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
W
Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
4:1
Sankt-Pauli ๐ฉ๐ช
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAugsburg - Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Augsburg
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
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