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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
05.08.2026 18:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 18:30 UTC
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Badajoz - Deportivo Coria

Football
B
Badajoz
- : -
Not started
D
Deportivo Coria

Badajoz meet Deportivo Coria on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Badajoz 3-2-0, Deportivo Coria 4-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Deportivo Coria — 45%

Pure model vs market (2 · Deportivo Coria): model 34% · market 46% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Badajoz30.2%
X · draw25.0%
2 · Deportivo Coria44.8%

Model estimate: win Badajoz 30.2%, draw 25.0%, win Deportivo Coria 44.8%. Model favourite — Deportivo Coria.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Deportivo Coria (odds2.02) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.55) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Koriya 🇪🇸: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.02)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.55).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Badajoz - Deportivo Coria August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Deportivo Coria. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.20 / X 3.65 / 2 2.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0% 4 books · best price +3.7%
1 29.2%
X 25.3%
2 45.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 29.0% @ 3.20 / X 25.4% @ 3.65 / 2 45.7% @ 2.03
Match center

Badajoz - Deportivo Coria

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Badajoz 29.3% 30.2%
Draw 25.2% 25.0% draw risk
Deportivo Coria 45.5% 44.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 30.2% / 25.0% / 44.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,512 Badajoz / Deportivo Coria
RD 350 / 224 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,065-1,960 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.03 Fonbet · no value · model 44.8%
X 3.65 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.20 Fonbet · no value · model 30.2%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 75.0%
1X 1.70 Fonbet · no value · model 55.2%
X2 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 69.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.61 62.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8%
x2 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.00 25.0%
X 2.22 45.1%
2.80 35.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.84 54.4%
Under 1 1.93 51.8%
Match center

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.2 (Pari) · X 3.65 (Pari) · 2 2.05 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.2 3.65 2.03
Winline 3.1 3.5 2.03
Fonbet 3.2 3.65 2.03
Betcity 3.1 3.6 2
Liga Stavok 3.15 3.5 2.05
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Badajoz
D W D W W
2026-06-20 Tercera RFEF 25/26, Promotion Finals
Badajoz Cuarte Industrial 1:1 Badajoz
2026-06-14 Tercera RFEF 25/26, Promotion Finals
Badajoz Badajoz 2:1 Cuarte Industrial
2026-06-07 Tercera Federacion 25/26, Group 14, Promotion Playoffs
Badajoz Badajoz 0:0 Moralo
2026-05-31 Tercera Federacion 25/26, Group 14, Promotion Playoffs
Badajoz Moralo 0:2 Badajoz
2026-05-24 Tercera Federacion 25/26, Group 14, Promotion Playoffs
Badajoz Badajoz 2:0 Jaraiz
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
11 Points
Deportivo Coria
W L W W W
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Deportivo Coria 1:0 Real Avila Deportivo Coria
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Valladolid 4:1 Deportivo Coria Deportivo Coria
2026-05-31 Segunda Federacion 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Real Oviedo B 0:1 Deportivo Coria Deportivo Coria
2026-05-24 Segunda Federacion 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Deportivo Coria 3:0 Real Oviedo B Deportivo Coria
2026-05-17 Segunda Federacion 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Deportiva Minera 0:1 Deportivo Coria Deportivo Coria
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBadajoz - Deportivo Coria

Badajoz
0 matches total
Deportivo Coria
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history