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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
31.07.2026 10:30 UTC
31.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Ballinamallard United - Aston Villa

Football
B
Ballinamallard United
- : -
Not started
A
Aston Villa
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ballinamallard United — 55%

1 · Ballinamallard United55.0%
X · draw18.3%
2 · Aston Villa26.7%

Model estimate: win Ballinamallard United 55.0%, draw 18.3%, win Aston Villa 26.7%. Model favourite — Ballinamallard United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ballinamallard United (odds3.30) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Patum Yunayted 🇹🇭: probability 50% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.30)
  • • edge over the line +20 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ballinamallard United - Aston Villa July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.30 / X 6.20 / 2 1.46

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 14.9%
1 26.4%
X 14.0%
2 59.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ballinamallard United 1 : 1 Aston Villa
12.08
X3.70
22.85

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Match center

Ballinamallard United - Aston Villa

Form 0/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ballinamallard United 26.4% 55.0% Glicko contrarian
Draw 14.0% 18.3% draw risk
Aston Villa 59.6% 26.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 55.0% / 18.3% / 26.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,456 Ballinamallard United / Aston Villa
RD 350 / 222 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,011-1,900 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.46 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 26.7%
X 6.20 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.30 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 55.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.62 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.87 53.5%
1.62 61.7%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 5.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 5.5 1.68 59.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
3.30 30.3%
X 6.20 16.1%
1.46 68.5%
Match center
Aston Villa
L L W
28.07 16:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Aston Villa 2:4 Real Sosedad 🇪🇸
25.07 17:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Aston Villa 1:2 Portu 🇵🇹
21.07 16:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Aston Villa 5:0 Uolsoll 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.7 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points