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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Barnsley - Lincoln City

Football
B
Barnsley
- : -
Not started
Lincoln City
Lincoln City

Barnsley meet Lincoln City on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Barnsley 2-0-3, Lincoln City 3-0-2. The market favourite is Barnsley at roughly 37%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Barnsley38%

Pure model vs market (1 · Barnsley): model 56% · market 37% Δ +19 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Barnsley38.1%
X · draw25.7%
2 · Lincoln City36.1%

Model estimate: win Barnsley 38.1%, draw 25.7%, win Lincoln City 36.1%. Model favourite — Barnsley.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Barnsley (odds2.55) Score 2:1 confidence 51%
  • Model backs Barnsli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 51% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.55)
  • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barnsley - Lincoln City August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barnsley.

Line favourite market consensus: Barnsley. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 3.50 / 2 2.51
  • 1X2 market: Barnsley 36.9% / X 26.4% / Lincoln City 36.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 36.9%
X 26.4%
2 36.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.50 → 2.50
1X2 X 3.55 → 3.55
1X2 P2 2.50 → 2.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Barnsley
#3623 ptsGP 11-0-02:0
Lincoln City
#11990 ptsGP 10-0-11:5
Best price across 3 books
1 2.52 Marathonbet
X 3.58 Marathonbet
2 2.53 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Barnsley
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.68 Conceded 1.38 xG 1.46 xGA 1.31 Corners 1.0
Lincoln City
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.58 Conceded 1.97 xG 1.66 xGA 1.09

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Barnsley
Rating 1693
Lincoln City
Rating 1458

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Barnsley 1 : 2 Lincoln City

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 36.9% @ 2.50 / X 26.4% @ 3.50 / 2 36.7% @ 2.51
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Barnsley 38%
💹 Market Barnsley 3686%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Barnsley - Lincoln City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Barnsley 37.0% 38.1% market and model agree
Draw 26.1% 25.7% draw risk
Lincoln City 36.9% 36.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 38.1% / 25.7% / 36.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,684 / 1,470 Barnsley / Lincoln City
RD 231 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,223-2,145 / 1,033-1,907 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 Fonbet · no value · model 36.1%
X 3.55 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.50 Fonbet · no value · model 38.1%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 74.3%
1X 1.47 Fonbet · no value · model 63.9%
X2 1.47 Fonbet · no value · model 61.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Betano Marathonbet
2.52 39.7% 2.47 40.5% 2.52 39.7%
X 3.58 27.9% 3.35 29.9% 3.58 27.9%
2.53 39.5% 2.47 40.5% 2.53 39.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.63 61.4% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.47 68.0%
x2 1.47 68.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 13.20 7.6%
0_1 8.90 11.2%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 13.20 7.6%
0_3 27.00 3.7%
0_4 60.00 1.7%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 8.90 11.2%
1_1 6.40 15.6%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 9.10 11.0%
1_3 20.00 5.0%
1_4 50.00 2.0%
1_5 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Barnsley
W L L W L
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Barnsley Scarborough Athletic 0:2 Barnsley
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Barnsley York City 2:1 Barnsley
2026-05-02 League One 25/26
Barnsley Barnsley 1:3 Stockport County
2026-04-28 League One 25/26
Barnsley Northampton Town 0:1 Barnsley
2026-04-25 League One 25/26
Barnsley Luton Town 2:1 Barnsley
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Lincoln City
L L W W W
2026-07-28 Club Friendly Games 2026
Grimsby Town 5:1 Lincoln City Lincoln City
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
Leyton Orient 2:0 Lincoln City Lincoln City
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Boston United 0:1 Lincoln City Lincoln City
2026-05-02 League One 25/26
Port Vale 0:2 Lincoln City Lincoln City
2026-04-25 League One 25/26
Lincoln City 4:3 Wycombe Wanderers Lincoln City
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarnsley - Lincoln City

Barnsley
0 matches total
Lincoln City
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history