Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Barnsley - Lincoln City
Barnsley meet Lincoln City on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Barnsley 2-0-3, Lincoln City 3-0-2. The market favourite is Barnsley at roughly 37%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Barnsley — 38%
Pure model vs market (1 · Barnsley): model 56% · market 37% Δ +19 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Barnsley 38.1%, draw 25.7%, win Lincoln City 36.1%. Model favourite — Barnsley.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Barnsli 🏴: probability 51% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.55)
- • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Barnsley - Lincoln City August 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barnsley.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 3.50 / 2 2.51
- 1X2 market: Barnsley 36.9% / X 26.4% / Lincoln City 36.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Barnsley - Lincoln City
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.52 39.7% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.52 39.7% | |
| X | 3.58 27.9% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.58 27.9% |
| 2.53 39.5% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.53 39.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 1.63 61.4% | 1.68 59.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.47 68.0% |
| x2 | 1.47 68.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 13.20 7.6% |
| 0_1 | 8.90 11.2% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 13.20 7.6% |
| 0_3 | 27.00 3.7% |
| 0_4 | 60.00 1.7% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 8.90 11.2% |
| 1_1 | 6.40 15.6% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.10 11.0% |
| 1_3 | 20.00 5.0% |
| 1_4 | 50.00 2.0% |
| 1_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
Lincoln City
Full head-to-head historyBarnsley - Lincoln City
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form