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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
31.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. - Havelse

Football
B
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- : -
Not started
Havelse
Havelse
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.52%

1 · Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.51.9%
X · draw18.4%
2 · Havelse29.7%

Model estimate: win Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 51.9%, draw 18.4%, win Havelse 29.7%. Model favourite — Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn..

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (odds3.60) Score 1:0 Under 3.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H1 +1 (odds1.60) confidence 50%
  • liniya na pik P1 4.20→3.65 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • Model backs Fulda-Leners 🇩🇪: probability 50% vs 28% on the line (odds 3.60)
  • edge over the line +22 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0
  • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • at line 3.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F1 +1: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.60).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. - Havelse July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Havelse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.55 / X 4.15 / 2 1.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 26.1%
X 22.3%
2 51.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 4.20 ↓ 3.55
1X2 X 5.30 ↓ 4.15
1X2 P2 1.53 ↑ 1.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
#1474 ptsGP 31-1-111:6
ARRAY
Havelse
#8761 ptsGP 20-1-12:4
ARRAY
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 2.63 Conceded 1.89
Havelse
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.92 Conceded 2.22 xG 1.09 xGA 2.52

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
Rating 1599
Havelse
Rating 1614

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 4 : 2 Havelse

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. - Havelse

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 26.1% 51.9% Glicko contrarian
Draw 22.4% 18.4% draw risk
Havelse 51.5% 29.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.9% / 18.4% / 29.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,525 / 1,545 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz / TSV Havelse
RD 178 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,168-1,882 / 1,132-1,958 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 29.7%
X 4.15 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.55 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.9%
Double chance
12 1.19 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 81.6%
1X 1.90 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 70.3%
X2 1.25 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.1%
Handicap
2 -1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.37 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.85 35.1%
yes 1.37 73.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.90 52.6%
x2 1.25 80.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.60 62.5%
1.42 70.4%
1.23 81.3%
1.19 84.0%
1.07 93.5%
5.10 19.6%
5.70 17.5%
2.70 37.0%
2.20 45.5%
2.65 37.7%
3.55 28.2%
4.00 25.0%
6.20 16.1%
1.11 90.1%
1.09 91.7%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.10 90.9%
Over 2 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 3 1.50 66.7%
Over 3.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 4 2.40 41.7%
Over 4.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 5 4.15 24.1%
Over 5.5 4.70 21.3%
Under 1 10.50 9.5%
Under 1.5 5.40 18.5%
Under 2 4.70 21.3%
Under 2.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 3 2.40 41.7%
Under 3.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 4 1.50 66.7%
Under 4.5 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
D L W W L
25.07 09:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 3:3 Meyzelvitts 🇩🇪
22.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 1:2 Khalle 🇩🇪
19.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 7:1 Fliden 🇩🇪
18.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 4:2 Valdorf 🇩🇪
11.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 0:3 Aubshtadt 🇩🇪
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
7 Points
Havelse
L D D W
25.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Havelse 1:3 Gannover II 🇩🇪
19.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Havelse 1:1 Ayntrakht Nordershtedt 🇩🇪
14.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Havelse 0:0 Ayntrakht B 🇩🇪Ayntrakht B 🇩🇪
11.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Havelse 3:2 Delmenkhorst 🇩🇪
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.5 Conceded
5 Points