Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Bauttsen π©πͺ - Dinamo Drezden π©πͺ
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2Dinamo Drezden π©πͺ β 82%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Xdraw β odds 23.00 Β· edge +5.6% Β· 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bauttsen π©πͺ - Dinamo Drezden π©πͺ July 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 5.00 / 2 9.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Bauttsen π©πͺ - Dinamo Drezden π©πͺ
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.23 81.3% | 1.88 53.2% |
| yes | 3.60 27.8% | 1.86 53.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | — | 1.03 97.1% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 6.30 15.9% | 8.40 11.9% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | — | — | 15.00 6.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 20.70 4.8% | |
| X | 7.10 14.1% |
| 1.10 90.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 2 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.78 56.2% |
| Under 0.5 | 6.40 15.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.47 40.5% |
| Under 2 | 1.99 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
Full head-to-head historyBauttsen π©πͺ - Dinamo Drezden π©πͺ