Match center
Start
03.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
–Line
✓Form
–H2H
✓Prediction
03.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Not started
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Bayern - Aston Villa
B
Bayern
-
:
-
Not started
A
Aston Villa
Bayern go head-to-head with Aston Villa on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Bayern 1-0-1, Aston Villa 1-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Bayern — 63%
Model estimate: win Bayern 62.6%, draw 16.7%, win Aston Villa 20.7%. Model favourite — Bayern.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Bayern (odds1.84)
Score 2:1
confidence 54%
- • Model backs Bavariya 🇩🇪: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.84)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bayern - Aston Villa August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Bayern - Aston Villa
Form
2/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Bayern
-
62.6%
model pick
Draw
-
16.7%
draw risk
Aston Villa
-
20.7%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
62.6% / 16.7% / 20.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,648 / 1,456
Bayern / Aston Villa
RD
249 / 222
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,150-2,147 / 1,011-1,901
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Match center
Bayern
W
L
Bayern
15:0
Rottakh-Egern 🇩🇪
Bayern
1:2
Vekhen 🇩🇪
Vekhen 🇩🇪
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
8.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Aston Villa
L
L
W
Aston Villa
2:4
Real Sosedad 🇪🇸
Real Sosedad 🇪🇸
Aston Villa
1:2
Portu 🇵🇹
Aston Villa
5:0
Uolsoll 🏴
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.7
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBayern - Aston Villa
Bayern
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Bayern - Aston Villa breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form