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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

29.07.2026 11:00 UTC

Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Bayer 🇩🇪 - Genk

Football

Bayer 🇩🇪

- : -

Not started

Genk

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bayer 🇩🇪 — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Bayer 🇩🇪): model 56% · market 66% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bayer 🇩🇪 ✓ Pick64.1%

market66%

X · draw20.4%

market20%

2 · Genk15.5%

market14%

Model estimate: win Bayer 🇩🇪 64.1%, draw 20.4%, win Genk 15.5%. Model favourite — Bayer 🇩🇪.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bayer 🇩🇪 (odds1.60) Score 2:1 confidence 58%

• liniya na pik P1 1.45→1.60 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
• Model backs Bayer 🇩🇪: probability 58% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer 🇩🇪 - Genk July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer 🇩🇪.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer 🇩🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 4.61 / 2 6.43
1X2 market: Bayer 🇩🇪 65.6% / X 20.0% / Genk 14.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%

1 ✓ Pick 65.7%

X 20.0%

2 14.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.45 ↑ 1.60

1X2 X 4.60 ↓ 4.20

1X2 P2 6.30 ↓ 4.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Bayer 🇩🇪 3 : 1 Genk

11.58

X4.20

25.11

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 29.07.2026 11:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Bayer 🇩🇪 64%

💹 Market Bayer 🇩🇪 6562%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Bayer 🇩🇪 - Genk

Form 2/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Bayer 🇩🇪 64.6% 64.1% market and model agree

Draw 20.4% 20.4% draw risk

Genk 15.0% 15.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 64.1% / 20.4% / 15.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,866 / 1,656 Bayer 🇩🇪 / Genk

RD 248 / 180 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,371-2,361 / 1,296-2,017 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.80 Fonbet · no value · model 15.5%

X 4.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.60 Fonbet · weak value +2.5% · model 64.1%

Double chance

12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 79.6%

1X 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 84.5%

X2 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 35.9%

Handicap

2 -1 1.82 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 6.70 Fonbet · line only

2 0 3.45 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.92 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.41 70.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.33 75.2%	1.40 71.4%
X	4.50 22.2%	4.75 21.1%	4.50 22.2%	4.55 22.0%	4.60 21.7%	4.40 22.7%
	7.25 13.8%	6.78 14.8%	5.50 18.2%	6.20 16.1%	6.50 15.4%	6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.45 40.8%	2.43 41.2%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.20 83.3%
1x	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%
x2	2.10 47.6%	2.16 46.3%	2.25 44.4%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	10.00 10.0%
0_1	17.00 5.9%
0_2	34.00 2.9%
0_3	91.00 1.1%
1_0	6.50 15.4%
1_1	7.50 13.3%
1_2	17.00 5.9%
1_3	46.00 2.2%
1_4	126.00 0.8%
2_0	6.50 15.4%
2_1	6.50 15.4%
2_2	13.00 7.7%
2_3	41.00 2.4%
2_4	101.00 1.0%
3_0	8.50 11.8%
3_1	8.50 11.8%
3_2	17.00 5.9%
3_3	46.00 2.2%

Match center

Bayer 🇩🇪

W W

25.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Bayer 🇩🇪 3:1 Offenbakh 🇩🇪

18.07 11:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Bayer 🇩🇪 3:0 Baumberg 🇩🇪

2 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

0.5 Conceded

6 Points

Genk

D L W L W

22.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Genk 0:0 AZ Alkmar 🇳🇱

18.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Genk 0:1 Folkirk 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

17.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Genk 4:3 Moteruell 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

11.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Genk 0:1 Fortuna 🇳🇱

08.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Genk 2:1 Beveren 🇧🇪

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayer 🇩🇪 - Genk

Bayer 🇩🇪

0 matches total

Genk

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Bayer 🇩🇪 - Genk

AI match prediction Bayer 🇩🇪 - Genk July 29, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Bayer 🇩🇪 - Genk

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Match history