Match center
Start
11.07.2026 16:30 UTC
11.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Benfica - Flamengo 🇧🇷
B
Benfica
1
:
2
Finished
F
Flamengo 🇧🇷
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Benfica - Flamengo 🇧🇷 July 11, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Benfica.
Line favourite market consensus: Benfica. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.28 / X 3.48 / 2 2.81
- 1X2 market: Benfica 40.6% / X 26.5% / Flamengo 🇧🇷 32.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1
40.5%
X
26.6%
2
32.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 13 books
1
2.65
Dafabet
X
3.60
1xBet
2
3.10
Superbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Model form (Glicko)
Benfica
Rating 1805
Flamengo 🇧🇷
Rating 1786
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Benfica
2
:
1
Flamengo 🇧🇷
12.34
X3.55
22.78
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Benfica - Flamengo 🇧🇷
Form
0/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.11
Fonbet · line only
X
4.80
Fonbet · line only
1
2.28
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.15
Fonbet · line only
1X
5.60
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.05
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.40
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
6.90
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.32
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.05
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.22 45.1% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.94 34.0% | 2.83 35.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.92 34.3% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.90 34.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.32 75.8% | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 3.05 32.8% | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 5.60 17.9% |
| x2 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.01 99.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_4 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_1 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_2 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_4 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 2_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 2_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
Match center
Flamengo 🇧🇷
W
Flamengo 🇧🇷
2:0
Lozanna 🇨🇭
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBenfica - Flamengo 🇧🇷
Benfica
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals