UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Bernli 🏴 - PAOK (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 PAOK (w) — 39%
Pure model vs market (2 · PAOK (w)): model 57% · market 36% Δ +21 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Bernli 🏴 36.7%, draw 24.6%, win PAOK (w) 38.8%. Model favourite — PAOK (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Espanol 🇪🇸: probability 63% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.90)
- • edge over the line +29 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bernli 🏴 - PAOK (w) July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.60 / X 3.40 / 2 2.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Bernli 🏴 - PAOK (w)
Football, Bernli - Espanol, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Bernli - Espanol, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.40 41.7% | 2.29 43.7% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.48 67.6% | 1.47 68.0% |
| x2 | 1.48 67.6% | 1.47 68.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.19 31.4% | |
| X | 2.12 47.2% |
| 3.19 31.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.71 58.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 1 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
Bernli 🏴
Ayaks 🇳🇱
Real Solt-Leyk 🇺🇸
Kolambus Kryu 🇺🇸
Olot 🇪🇸
Full head-to-head historyBernli 🏴 - PAOK (w)
Match history
Bernli Espanol 1 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 1 Scored 0 2 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12 Shots on goal 0 4 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6 Uglovye 0 1 Offsaydy 0 11 Foly 0 49 % vladeniya myachom 0 1 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 13% 12% 75% Double chance 13% 43% 44% Materialy po prognozam «Bernli» — «Man Siti». Erling Kholand mozhet esche luchshe «Espanol» — «Atletiko». Grizmann podsuetitsya «Espanol» — «Barcelona». Khavi otprazdnuet chempionstvo «Espanol» — «Kadis». Neudachniki poveselyat tribuny «Bernli» — «Arsenal». Prognoz: Obameyang and Lyakazett ustroyat «perestrelku» s Krisom Vudom «Manchester Yunayted» — «Bernli». Prognoz: bez Rashforda Sulsher syadet v luzhu «Bernli» — «Lester». Prognoz: Vardi and Shmeykhel prodlyat uzhasnuyu seriyu home «Espanol» — «Barcelona». Prognoz: Messi vklyuchit rezhim boga v derbi «Bernli» — «Manchester Yunayted». Prognoz: Sulsher priblizitsya k top-4 «Espanol» — CSKA. Prognoz: risknem proverit koeffitsient 3.76 CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1327036' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHA
Unlock the full match prediction
The Bernli 🏴 - PAOK (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form