Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
World: Club Friendlies
World: Club Friendlies
29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Not started

World: Club Friendlies

Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - Espanol 🇪🇸

Football
Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
- : -
Not started
E
Espanol 🇪🇸
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Espanol 🇪🇸39%

Pure model vs market (2 · Espanol 🇪🇸): model 57% · market 36% Δ +21 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿36.7%
X · draw24.6%
2 · Espanol 🇪🇸38.8%

Model estimate: win Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 36.7%, draw 24.6%, win Espanol 🇪🇸 38.8%. Model favourite — Espanol 🇪🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Espanol 🇪🇸 (odds2.90) Score 0:2 confidence 63%
  • Model backs Espanol 🇪🇸: probability 63% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.90)
  • edge over the line +29 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - Espanol 🇪🇸 July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.60 / X 3.35 / 2 2.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 36.0%
X 28.0%
2 36.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.50 → 2.50
1X2 X 3.85 ↓ 3.75
1X2 P2 2.50 → 2.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Match center

Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - Espanol 🇪🇸

Football, Bernli - Espanol, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Bernli - Espanol, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 37.5% 36.7%
Draw 25.0% 24.6% draw risk
Espanol 🇪🇸 37.6% 38.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 36.7% / 24.6% / 38.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,285 / 1,753 Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 / Espanol 🇪🇸
RD 223 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 839-1,731 / 1,170-2,335 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 Fonbet · no value · model 38.8%
X 3.35 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.60 Fonbet · no value · model 36.7%
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 75.4%
1X 1.47 Fonbet · no value · model 61.2%
X2 1.47 Fonbet · no value · model 63.3%
Handicap
2 -1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.25 44.4% 2.43 41.2%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.49 67.1% 1.47 68.0%
x2 1.49 67.1% 1.47 68.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.03 33.0%
X 2.31 43.3%
2.96 33.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 1 2.27 44.1%
Under 1.5 1.76 56.8%
Match center
Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
L L D L
26.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 1:2 Ayaks 🇳🇱Ayaks 🇳🇱
15.07 23:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 1:4 Real Solt-Leyk 🇺🇸Real Solt-Leyk 🇺🇸
12.07 18:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 1:1 Kolambus Kryu 🇺🇸Kolambus Kryu 🇺🇸
10.07 21:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 1:3 Tsintsinnati 🇺🇸
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Espanol 🇪🇸
D W W
25.07 16:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Espanol 🇪🇸 1:1 Sabadel 🇪🇸
21.07 15:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Espanol 🇪🇸 8:0 Po 🇫🇷
18.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Espanol 🇪🇸 3:0 Olot 🇪🇸Olot 🇪🇸
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Espanol 🇪🇸
Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Team comparison Espanol 🇪🇸
1 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
1 Scored 0
2 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
12 Shots on goal 0
4 Udary v stvor 0
1 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
1 Scored 0
2 Conceded 0

Bernli Espanol 1 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 1 Scored 0 2 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12 Shots on goal 0 4 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6 Uglovye 0 1 Offsaydy 0 11 Foly 0 49 % vladeniya myachom 0 1 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 13% 12% 75% Double chance 13% 43% 44% Materialy po prognozam «Bernli» — «Man Siti». Erling Kholand mozhet esche luchshe «Espanol» — «Atletiko». Grizmann podsuetitsya «Espanol» — «Barcelona». Khavi otprazdnuet chempionstvo «Espanol» — «Kadis». Neudachniki poveselyat tribuny «Bernli» — «Arsenal». Prognoz: Obameyang and Lyakazett ustroyat «perestrelku» s Krisom Vudom «Manchester Yunayted» — «Bernli». Prognoz: bez Rashforda Sulsher syadet v luzhu «Bernli» — «Lester». Prognoz: Vardi and Shmeykhel prodlyat uzhasnuyu seriyu home «Espanol» — «Barcelona». Prognoz: Messi vklyuchit rezhim boga v derbi «Bernli» — «Manchester Yunayted». Prognoz: Sulsher priblizitsya k top-4 «Espanol» — CSKA. Prognoz: risknem proverit koeffitsient 3.76 CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1327036' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHA