UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Bernli 🏴 - PAOK (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 PAOK (w) — 39%
Pure model vs market (2 · PAOK (w)): model 57% · market 37% Δ +20 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Bernli 🏴 34.7%, draw 26.7%, win PAOK (w) 38.7%. Model favourite — PAOK (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Espanol 🇪🇸: probability 63% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.90)
- • edge over the line +29 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bernli 🏴 - PAOK (w) July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like PAOK (w).
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 3.37 / 2 2.44
- 1X2 market: Bernli 🏴 35.4% / X 27.2% / PAOK (w) 37.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Now in play
score 2:1 · 62'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
62'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
Match momentum (live)
2:1 62'Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
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Bernli 🏴 - PAOK (w)
Football, Bernli - Espanol, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Bernli - Espanol, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.60 38.5% | 2.67 37.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.55 39.2% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.36 29.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.48 40.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.20 31.3% | 2.38 42.0% |
| yes | 1.30 76.9% | 1.54 64.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 1.45 69.0% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 1.45 69.0% | 1.48 67.6% | 3.25 30.8% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 0_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_5 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.65 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| Winline | 2.55 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
| Fonbet | 2.65 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| Betcity | 2.5 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.5 | 3.35 | 2.5 |
Bernli 🏴
Ayaks 🇳🇱
Real Solt-Leyk 🇺🇸
Kolambus Kryu 🇺🇸
Olot 🇪🇸
Full head-to-head historyBernli 🏴 - PAOK (w)
Match history
Bernli Espanol 1 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 1 Scored 0 2 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12 Shots on goal 0 4 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6 Uglovye 0 1 Offsaydy 0 11 Foly 0 49 % vladeniya myachom 0 1 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 15% 29% 56% Double chance 22% 35% 43% Materialy po prognozam «Bernli» — «Man Siti». Erling Kholand mozhet esche luchshe «Espanol» — «Atletiko». Grizmann podsuetitsya «Espanol» — «Barcelona». Khavi otprazdnuet chempionstvo «Espanol» — «Kadis». Neudachniki poveselyat tribuny «Bernli» — «Arsenal». Prognoz: Obameyang and Lyakazett ustroyat «perestrelku» s Krisom Vudom «Manchester Yunayted» — «Bernli». Prognoz: bez Rashforda Sulsher syadet v luzhu «Bernli» — «Lester». Prognoz: Vardi and Shmeykhel prodlyat uzhasnuyu seriyu home «Espanol» — «Barcelona». Prognoz: Messi vklyuchit rezhim boga v derbi «Bernli» — «Manchester Yunayted». Prognoz: Sulsher priblizitsya k top-4 «Espanol» — CSKA. Prognoz: risknem proverit koeffitsient 3.76 CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1327036' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHA
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form