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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

01.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Burnley - Torino

Football

Burnley

- : -

Not started

Torino

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Torino — 52%

1 · Burnley29.6%

X · draw18.8%

2 · Torino51.6%

Model estimate: win Burnley 29.6%, draw 18.8%, win Torino 51.6%. Model favourite — Torino.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Torino (odds3.61) Score 0:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs Torino 🇮🇹: probability 50% vs 28% on the line (odds 3.61)
• edge over the line +22 pp — value pick
• Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Torino August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Burnley. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 4.01 / 2 3.61

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%

1 51.8%

X 22.9%

2 25.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs

League table

Burnley

#8151 ptsGP 20-1-13:4

ARRAY

Torino

#5713 ptsGP 21-0-11:1

ARRAY

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Burnley

W-D-L 1-3-6 Scored 1.01 Conceded 1.78 xG 1.49 xGA 1.28 Corners 4.0

Torino

W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.10 Conceded 0.96 xG 1.96 xGA 1.05 Corners 5.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Burnley

Rating 1520

Torino

Rating 1524

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Market 1 51.8% @ 1.77 / X 22.9% @ 4.01 / 2 25.4% @ 3.61

Match center

Burnley - Torino

Form 5/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Burnley 51.8% 29.6% market favourite

Draw 22.9% 18.8% draw risk

Torino 25.4% 51.6% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 29.6% / 18.8% / 51.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,285 / 1,480 Bernli 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 / Torino 🇮🇹

RD 223 / 257 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 839-1,732 / 966-1,993 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.61 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.6%

X 4.01 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.77 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 29.6%

Handicap

2 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.48 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.43 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.43 41.2%
yes	1.52 65.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.20 45.5%
X	2.59 38.6%
	3.86 25.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.95 51.3%
Under 1.5	1.76 56.8%

Handicap

Outcome	Leon
	2.48 40.3%
	1.50 66.7%

Match center

Burnley

D L L D L

30.07 16:45 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Burnley 2:2 Espanol 🇪🇸

26.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Burnley 1:2 Ayaks 🇳🇱

15.07 23:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Burnley 1:4 Real Solt-Leyk 🇺🇸

12.07 18:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Burnley 1:1 Kolambus Kryu 🇺🇸

10.07 21:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Burnley 1:3 Tsintsinnati 🇺🇸

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.4 Conceded

2 Points

Torino

L W

25.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Torino 0:1 Chittadella 🇮🇹

22.07 13:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Torino 1:0 Altsione Milan 🇮🇹

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.5 Scored

0.5 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Torino

Burnley

0 matches total

Torino

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Burnley - Torino

AI match prediction Burnley - Torino August 1, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Burnley - Torino

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Handicap

Match history