Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Betis — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Betis): model 58% · market 57% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Betis 56.4%, draw 23.4%, win Almeria 20.2%. Model favourite — Betis.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 1.88 53.2% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| x2 | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.17 46.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 2.21 45.3% |
| 5.20 19.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.91 52.4% |
Full head-to-head historyBetis - Almeria
The Betis - Almeria breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
