UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
03.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

BFK Dinamo 🇩🇪 - Feniks Lyubek 🇩🇪

Futbol
B
BFK Dinamo 🇩🇪
1 : 1
Finished
F
Feniks Lyubek 🇩🇪

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction BFK Dinamo 🇩🇪 - Feniks Lyubek 🇩🇪 July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like BFK Dinamo 🇩🇪.

Line favourite market consensus: BFK Dinamo 🇩🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.48 / 2 2.45
  • 1X2 market: BFK Dinamo 🇩🇪 37.1% / X 26.0% / Feniks Lyubek 🇩🇪 36.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 37.1%
X 26.0%
2 36.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 7 books
1 2.50 Dafabet
X 3.60 Betfair
2 2.55 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
BFK Dinamo 🇩🇪
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 2.23 Conceded 1.94
Feniks Lyubek 🇩🇪
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 3.06 Conceded 1.63

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
BFK Dinamo 🇩🇪
Rating 1496
Feniks Lyubek 🇩🇪
Rating 1774

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

BFK Dinamo 🇩🇪 - Feniks Lyubek 🇩🇪

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.46 market consensus · line only
X 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 2.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 5.90 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.83 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
2.40 41.7% 2.44 41.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.23 81.3% 3.40 29.4%
yes 3.60 27.8% 1.29 77.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 5.90 17.0%
1x 1.35 74.1% 1.45 69.0% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.36 73.5% 1.47 68.0% 1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.04 32.9%
X 2.30 43.5%
2.97 33.7%