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28.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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28.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Boldmere St. Michaels - Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
B
Boldmere St. Michaels
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:
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Not started
C
Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ 49%
Model estimate: win Boldmere St. Michaels 32.2%, draw 18.6%, win Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 49.2%. Model favourite โ Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ (odds2.40)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
- • edge over the line +8 pp โ value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Boldmere St. Michaels - Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.43 / 2 2.41
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.1%
1
35.3%
X
26.7%
2
38.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Boldmere St. Michaels - Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Form
2/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Boldmere St. Michaels
35.3%
32.2%
Draw
26.7%
18.6%
draw risk
Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
38.0%
49.2%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
32.2% / 18.6% / 49.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,362 / 1,500
Boldmere St. Michaels / Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
RD
283 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
795-1,928 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.41
market consensus ยท weak value +18.6% ยท model 49.2%
X
3.43
market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.60
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 32.2%
Handicap
2 0
1.80
market consensus ยท line only
1 0
1.94
market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
2.62
market consensus ยท line only
Yes
1.45
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.62 38.2% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.21 31.2% | |
| X | 2.23 44.8% |
| 2.95 33.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.81 26.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.94 51.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% |
Match center
Boldmere St. Michaels
D
L
Boldmere St. Michaels
2:2
Rasholl ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Boldmere St. Michaels
2:3
Alvcherch ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Alvcherch ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.5
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBoldmere St. Michaels - Cheyztaun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Boldmere St. Michaels
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
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