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03.08.2026 12:00 UTC
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03.08.2026 12:00 UTC
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Bournemouth - Genoa
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:
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Not started
G
Genoa
Bournemouth face Genoa on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Bournemouth 2-0-0, Genoa 2-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Bournemouth โ 69%
Model estimate: win Bournemouth 69.2%, draw 15.3%, win Genoa 15.5%. Model favourite โ Bournemouth.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bournemouth - Genoa August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsLeague table
Bournemouth
Genoa
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Bournemouth
W-D-L 6-3-1
Scored 2.54
Conceded 1.34
xG 1.86
xGA 1.23
Corners 2.0
Genoa
W-D-L 6-2-2
Scored 1.90
Conceded 1.56
xG 1.75
xGA 1.12
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Bournemouth
Rating 1977
Genoa
Rating 1788
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Bournemouth - Genoa
Form
2/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Bournemouth
-
69.2%
model pick
Draw
-
15.3%
draw risk
Genoa
-
15.5%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
69.2% / 15.3% / 15.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
2,156 / 1,755
Bornmut ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ / Genoa
RD
288 / 237
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,581-2,732 / 1,282-2,228
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Match center
Bournemouth
W
W
Bournemouth
5:2
Augsburg ๐ฉ๐ช
Bournemouth
4:1
Sankt-Pauli ๐ฉ๐ช
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
6
Points
Genoa
W
D
W
Genoa
1:0
Lester ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Lester ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Genoa
2:2
Vichentsa Virtus ๐ฎ๐น
Genoa
2:1
Trento ๐ฎ๐น
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.7
Scored
1.0
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Genoa
Bournemouth
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form