UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Boston United - Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ 50%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ): model 54% ยท market 47% ฮ +7 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Boston United 26.8%, draw 23.7%, win Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 49.5%. Model favourite โ Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.84)
- • no edge over the line (-4 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Boston United - Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.43 / X 3.80 / 2 2.04
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Boston United - Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.50 40.0% |
| yes | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.59 62.9% | 1.69 59.2% |
| x2 | 1.29 77.5% | 1.36 73.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.92 25.5% | |
| X | 2.39 41.8% |
| 2.34 42.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.24 80.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.61 27.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
Boston United
Alfreton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Linkoln ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Linkoln ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Khartlpul Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Zarya ๐บ๐ฆ
Full head-to-head historyBoston United - Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Match history
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