Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Bournemouth face Genoa on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Bournemouth 3-2-0, Genoa 2-1-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Bournemouth — 69%
Model estimate: win Bournemouth 69.2%, draw 15.3%, win Genoa 15.5%. Model favourite — Bournemouth.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.08 48.1% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.78 56.2% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 3.85 26.0% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 1.98 50.5% | |
| 1.57 63.7% | |
| 1.28 78.1% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 4.05 24.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1 | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 2 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 3 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 4 | 3.45 29.0% |
| Over 4.5 | 4.05 24.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% |
| Under 1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Under 2 | 3.60 27.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 3 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Under 4 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
Bournemouth
Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Genoa
The Bournemouth - Genoa breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
